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Amnesty News
Prediction markets for Amnesty
Prediction markets for Amnesty
Will there be a blanket amnesty granted to Catalan separatists by July 2024?
Oct 30, 11:55 AM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
69.44%
chance
8
231
Option
Votes
NO
YES
274
150
BR Congress 2024-2026 Mega-market: Which of these proposals will the Brazilian Congress approve before the end of 2026?
Jun 23, 6:58 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
1
2255
Javier Milei - Argentina's president - First Term Mega-market (5000m prize voting based contest)
Dec 18, 5:45 PM
Dec 17, 6:59 AM
102
47274
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Jun 3, 9:34 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
35.39%
chance
14
835
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1351
740
Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?
Jul 22, 1:00 AM
Jan 2, 12:30 PM
19.17%
chance
11
406
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1175
938
Will Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?
Jul 22, 1:01 AM
Jan 2, 12:30 PM
17.11%
chance
17
449
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1167
944
Will the alleged improper use of white phosphorous in Gaza by Israel be confirmed by Western Intelligence by EOY 2024?
Jan 8, 5:54 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
14.45%
chance
14
306
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1204
939
Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?
Nov 8, 5:29 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
89.34%
chance
4
245
Option
Votes
NO
YES
306
80
Who will be granted a presidential pardon before their death?
Mar 26, 3:05 PM
Sep 9, 2:29 PM
31
1729
Articles
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6
1 month
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11
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6
1 month
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4
3 months
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Authors
17
3 months
Israel
World
Politics
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Authors
4
3 months
Economics
Crime
Business
Israeli Hostages, Including Children, Endure Starvation and Abuse, Violating International Law
Authors
5
3 months
Israel
World
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Authors
5
4 months
Israel
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World
Amnesty Warns of Dangerous Precedent in Julian Assange Extradition Case
Authors
4
4 months
Crime
Politics
Culture
Amnesty Urges Clemency for Kenneth Smith Facing Execution in Alabama; Concerns Raised Over Legalizing Assisted Suicide, Experimental Execution Method, and Thursday's Scheduled Execution Blocked by 11th Circuit Court
Authors
6
5 months
Britain
World
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