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Alan Turing: Pioneering Computer Scientist and AI Visionary Celebrated on 112th Birthday
Authors
17
10 days
AI
Tech
Prediction markets for Allies
Prediction markets for Allies
Will Taiwan lose any additional diplomatic allies before the end of 2024?
Jan 15, 7:31 AM
Jan 5, 12:59 PM
49.01%
chance
16
446
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1051
931
Will the Houthis successfully attack a U.S. or allied warship in 2024?
Mar 9, 8:45 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
27.56%
chance
20
1421
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1557
678
Will the last living World War II veteran be from the Axis rather than the allies?
May 27, 4:37 PM
Jun 29, 6:59 AM
41%
chance
12
441
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1037
975
Conditional on a MAGA Republican being elected US President, will NATO be attacked by Russian-allied forces in 2025?
Dec 26, 4:34 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
9.93%
chance
29
1786
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1247
939
Who will win Ally of the Year? (Destiny Awards 2024)
Dec 31, 9:09 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
43
6026
How could Ukraine win a war against Russia with a ceasefire on Ukrainian or allied terms? [add responses]
Feb 21, 9:19 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
18
899
Will Taiwan/ROC lose a second 'diplomatic ally' in 2024?
Jan 18, 12:37 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
49.85%
chance
9
258
Option
Votes
NO
YES
197
179
Which of Taiwan/ROC's 'diplomatic allies' will be next to 'flip' to the PRC?
Jan 16, 12:43 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
4
440
Will any of these Destiny allies have their bridges burned this year ?
Feb 15, 9:43 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
17
1804
Will Taiwan/ROC gain any 'diplomatic allies' before 2027?
Mar 27, 9:37 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
25.34%
chance
3
61
Option
Votes
YES
NO
137
63
Which of Taiwan/ROC's 'diplomatic allies' will 'flip' to the PRC before 2028?
Jan 31, 1:17 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
6
304
How many 'diplomatic allies' will ROC (Taiwan) lose in the period 2024-2027?
Jan 19, 3:23 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
2
118
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Alan Turing: Pioneering Computer Scientist and AI Visionary Celebrated on 112th Birthday
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19 days
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14
2 months
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17
4 months
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1944 Bombings of Nazi-Occupied Tallinn: Controversy Over Soviet Forces' Role
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5
4 months
Ukraine
World
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