White News

Disney VP Michael Giordano Confronted by James O'Keefe, Flees Over Alleged Discriminatory Hiring Practices
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15 days
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Science

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

95.18%chance

306603

OptionVotes

YES

4444

225

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Jun 2, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

639255

OptionVotes

YES

2267

1026

Will Vivek Ramaswamy hold a position in the Trump White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

82.58%chance

13215428

OptionVotes

YES

5297

861

Will Allan Lichtman's "The Keys to the White House" correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential election?

Mar 14, 12:13 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

62%chance

132276

OptionVotes

YES

1207

822

In 2024, will India lift its ban on the export of non-basmati white rice?

Dec 2, 12:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.68%chance

464544

OptionVotes

YES

2850

949

Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?

Dec 22, 2:45 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

14.86%chance

39039833

OptionVotes

YES

4796

3037

Will The Keys to the White House correctly predict the 2024 election?

Dec 13, 4:29 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

67%chance

5413125

OptionVotes

YES

1059

781

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House by the end of 2024?

May 9, 7:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.92%chance

8919349

OptionVotes

YES

5722

1527

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

24.42%chance

234417

OptionVotes

YES

1009

968

Will Trump's VP pick be a white male?

Jan 20, 8:57 PMNov 9, 4:59 AM

58.39%chance

23414699

OptionVotes

YES

1482

392

Will the Republican nominee for Vice President be a white man?

Jan 18, 8:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68.18%chance

11710825

OptionVotes

YES

1774

340

[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

Nov 6, 7:48 PMJan 2, 2:00 PM

7.18%chance

13919969

OptionVotes

YES

4882

819

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Top stories

Prediction markets for White

Prediction markets for White

Prediction markets for White

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will Vivek Ramaswamy hold a position in the Trump White House?

Will Allan Lichtman's "The Keys to the White House" correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential election?

In 2024, will India lift its ban on the export of non-basmati white rice?

Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?

Will The Keys to the White House correctly predict the 2024 election?

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House by the end of 2024?

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Will Trump's VP pick be a white male?

Will the Republican nominee for Vice President be a white man?

[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for White

Prediction markets for White

Prediction markets for White

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will Vivek Ramaswamy hold a position in the Trump White House?

Will Allan Lichtman's "The Keys to the White House" correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential election?

In 2024, will India lift its ban on the export of non-basmati white rice?

Will white-collar workers unionize to prevent job loss to AI/automation in 2024?

Will The Keys to the White House correctly predict the 2024 election?

Will Xi Jinping visit the White House by the end of 2024?

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Will Trump's VP pick be a white male?

Will the Republican nominee for Vice President be a white man?

[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?

Latest stories