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When You Believe News
Prediction markets for When You Believe
Prediction markets for When You Believe
🧭Which of these things will happen before Ukraine joins NATO? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 6, 9:20 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
29
2748
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
Mar 14, 8:29 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
60%
chance
181
21792
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2412
1287
What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
Apr 7, 7:59 PM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
256
170108
Who will be Trump's VP/Running Mate? (Bundled Candidates)
Jan 23, 9:03 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
133
25147
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
266
329426
What new information will surface this year about the sudden closure of Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute?
Apr 17, 3:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
31
1364
What traits will Google's next CEO have (many traits for you to bet on!)
Feb 23, 7:21 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
90
8248
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
60
3197
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
Jan 30, 3:04 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
111
44025
The 10 worst things about the 'Right Wing' such as Ben Shapiro/Nick Fuentes?
Apr 7, 12:52 AM
Feb 1, 5:59 AM
21
2577
What will be true of the company Safe Superintelligence (SSI) by the end of 2025? (Add Answers)
Jun 19, 6:01 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
65
32627
What's wrong with Ben Shapiro!??!
Apr 6, 3:36 AM
Oct 8, 4:59 AM
21
1120
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