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United States Constitution News
Prediction markets for United States Constitution
Prediction markets for United States Constitution
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
Jul 10, 8:22 AM
Dec 31, 4:01 PM
35.29%
chance
44
2400
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1008
922
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
Jun 3, 6:31 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
29.38%
chance
17
1180
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1550
645
Will either the House or the Senate vote on a constitutional amendment overturning Trump v. United States?
Jul 2, 9:09 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
12.22%
chance
14
2273
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2681
373
Which existing amendment to the Constitution of the United States will be repealed by EOY 2044 ?
May 5, 7:14 AM
Jan 15, 10:59 PM
11
608
What will be the next Amendment to the United States Constitution?
May 4, 10:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
9
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
280
345733
What should the Biden campaign be doing right now to increase their chances of winning the election?
Mar 4, 7:07 PM
Dec 8, 7:59 AM
150
21200
Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
Apr 21, 6:37 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
70%
chance
136
7830
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2534
1734
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
May 4, 5:27 PM
Nov 7, 6:00 AM
50.64%
chance
36
850
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1035
951
Will the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals Side With HISA in its pending decision?
Oct 15, 5:53 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
65.19%
chance
45
1543
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1518
595
Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:07 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
75.32%
chance
11
201
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1027
981
Will another US President hold office for more than two full terms?
Jul 3, 6:08 AM
Jan 22, 4:59 AM
45.39%
chance
1
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1097
912
Articles
Latest stories
George Washington Designates Thanksgiving Day in 1789 in Honor of U.S. Constitution
Authors
4
7 months
Politics
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