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Turbo News
Prediction markets for Turbo
Prediction markets for Turbo
Will the 400B+ open source Llama 3 model rank higher than GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 on the lmsys leaderboard?
Aug 28, 2:56 PM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
60.36%
chance
202
54498
Option
Votes
NO
YES
32280
21687
Will we have an open-source model better than GPT-4-Turbo before 2025?
Dec 15, 11:29 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
68.76%
chance
32
1185
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1102
933
Will GPT-4-Turbo be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2025?
Jan 28, 1:05 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.88%
chance
34
1036
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1195
814
Will xAI release an LLM with BIG-Bench score as good as GPT-4 Turbo before the end of 2024?
Jun 20, 2:09 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
33.71%
chance
31
2673
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1461
588
Will it appear that the openai.com GPT-4.5 turbo blogpost that appeared in DuckDuckGo results was real?
Mar 12, 7:59 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
2%
chance
59
33640
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7098
328
Price of GPT4-turbo equivalent LLM intelligence output by EOY 2024 ($/million token)
May 10, 7:35 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
1
10
Should I swap out original 1982 BMW 320i powertrain with my spare 1987 Buick Grand National 3.8l v6 Turbo?
Jan 1, 11:20 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
77%
chance
2
124
Option
Votes
NO
YES
125
41
Does gpt-3.5-turbo have <25B parameters?
Nov 8, 6:58 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
43.71%
chance
9
262
Option
Votes
YES
NO
237
204
Is gpt-3.5-turbo a Mixture of Experts (MoE)?
Jan 6, 5:44 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
84.5%
chance
7
163
Option
Votes
NO
YES
269
107
Will I @Voidvamp be demoted to Platinum in current Season 14 of Diamond League - Turbo Mystics?
Jun 18, 11:20 AM
Jul 2, 6:29 PM
98.78%
chance
4
942
Option
Votes
NO
YES
901
11
What is true of the new Japanese GPT-4?
Apr 15, 6:44 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
16
732
What will be true about GPT-5?
Mar 12, 1:45 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
178
18717
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