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S&P 500 Gains 16.24% YTD, Outperforming Equal-Weighted Index and S&P Top 50 (+23.80%)
Authors
4
1 day
Economics
Business
Prediction markets for Top 100
Prediction markets for Top 100
Will there be a song created by an AI system in the year-end top 100 Billboards chart by 2026?
Feb 3, 2:59 PM
Dec 31, 10:00 AM
63.47%
chance
246
30273
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4514
4273
Will a record label release a song with an AI-generated voice of a dead billboard top 100 all time artist, b4 EOY 2024?
Jun 28, 10:31 PM
Jan 1, 6:00 AM
54.96%
chance
36
1889
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2047
1140
🎵 By 2026, will any fully AI-generated song hit the Billboard Hot 100 or Spotify Top 50 for at least one week?
Mar 27, 3:38 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
36.9%
chance
77
3545
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1364
764
Will A top 100 chess Grandmaster be proven to be cheating this year?
Feb 5, 4:46 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
30%
chance
21
880
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1054
966
Will an AI-generated song breaks into the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 or the Spotify Top Hits 2024?
Oct 13, 8:56 PM
Oct 2, 3:59 AM
25%
chance
24
1473
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1385
822
Will the 2025 NFL MVP be top 30 on the 2024 top 100 players list?
Feb 21, 8:58 PM
Feb 16, 7:59 AM
82.15%
chance
12
359
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1226
908
Will "Humming is not a free $100 bill" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Jun 7, 10:17 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
Will "Humming is not a free $100 bill" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Jun 7, 10:17 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
8.38%
chance
6
827
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1642
922
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, what will the ranking order of films be?
Mar 3, 6:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7
874
When will an active female chess player next rank in the top 100 players according to the FIDE standard top 100 ranking?
Mar 15, 4:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4
280
Will the majority of top 100 US universities not accept the SAT/ACT for the 2025-2026 academic year?
Aug 5, 6:33 PM
Apr 1, 6:59 AM
7.04%
chance
6
363
Option
Votes
YES
NO
418
96
How many of the top 100 companies will have a Square shaped Logo Icon by EOY 2028? (judged by CompaniesMarketCap)
Dec 9, 2:53 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4
31
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