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Tokamak News
Prediction markets for Tokamak
Prediction markets for Tokamak
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be a tokamak?
May 14, 10:29 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
60.37%
chance
13
240
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1051
956
Will Tokamak Energy's construction and testing of its Demo4 unit be complete by 12/31/2024?
Aug 10, 10:16 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
24.01%
chance
8
218
Option
Votes
YES
NO
256
91
Will Tokamak Energy's Demo4 superconducting magnet system be assembled and finish testing by 12/31/2024?
Aug 10, 10:13 PM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
24.48%
chance
4
86
Option
Votes
YES
NO
156
51
Will Tokamak Energy demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
Feb 27, 5:52 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.71%
chance
10
490
Option
Votes
YES
NO
508
117
What will be the next fusion project to reach Q=1 scientific breakeven?
Feb 27, 6:28 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8
800
Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?
Aug 10, 1:47 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
16.44%
chance
11
3016
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1740
771
Articles
Latest stories
China Achieves Milestone with HH70 Tokamak, Huanliu-3, and Plans Fusion Power Plant by 2030
Authors
5
15 days
China
World
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