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The Trade News
Prediction markets for The Trade
Prediction markets for The Trade
What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?
Jun 20, 9:11 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23
9236
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024? (open for trading)
Apr 4, 3:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8
502
Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?
Aug 6, 2:34 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
13.2%
chance
15
3907
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3529
1289
Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?
Apr 21, 5:38 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
60.58%
chance
45
1459
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1396
578
Will the Federal Trade Commission open an investigation into Mastercard restricting adult content?
Aug 31, 4:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
23.56%
chance
13
388
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1110
949
By March 15, 2025, will Manifold users still have the authority to resolve markets they have traded on?
Mar 13, 4:30 PM
Mar 16, 3:59 AM
75.32%
chance
15
951
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1055
957
Will Saudi Arabia adopt the Chinese Yuan for trading oil by 2030?
Jul 2, 4:33 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
25.64%
chance
13
942
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1703
587
Will the NYSE announce 24 hour trading before 2025?
Apr 23, 11:30 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
33.47%
chance
15
305
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1063
957
Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)
Jan 15, 1:27 AM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
18.2%
chance
21
1035
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1450
859
Will the Iowa Electronic Markets still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?
Jan 7, 8:34 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
80.14%
chance
25
1750
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1181
934
If Elon Musk leaves Tesla, will Tesla stock be up by the next end of trading day?
Jun 23, 12:44 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.39%
chance
31
1611
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1976
506
Initiative 2117: Will Washington Repeal the “Cap and Trade” Program?
Jun 16, 9:40 PM
Nov 16, 4:59 AM
20.39%
chance
31
1429
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1976
506
Articles
Latest stories
Emmy-winning Film Editor Doug Ibold of 'Law & Order' and 'Magnum, P.I.' Dies at 83, Cinematographer Ross McDonnell of 'The Trade' Passes Away at 44, Composer David Del Tredici Dies at 86
Authors
6
7 months
Culture
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