The Trade News

What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?

Jun 20, 9:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

234877

What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024? (open for trading)

Apr 4, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8502

Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?

Aug 6, 2:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13.2%chance

153907

OptionVotes

YES

3529

1289

Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?

Apr 21, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.58%chance

451459

OptionVotes

YES

1396

578

Will Saudi Arabia adopt the Chinese Yuan for trading oil by 2030?

Jul 2, 4:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50.34%chance

5107

OptionVotes

YES

1007

993

Will the Federal Trade Commission open an investigation into Mastercard restricting adult content?

Aug 31, 4:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.56%chance

13388

OptionVotes

YES

1110

949

By March 15, 2025, will Manifold users still have the authority to resolve markets they have traded on?

Mar 13, 4:30 PMMar 16, 3:59 AM

75.32%chance

15951

OptionVotes

YES

1055

957

Will the NYSE announce 24 hour trading before 2025?

Apr 23, 11:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.47%chance

15305

OptionVotes

YES

1063

957

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

18.2%chance

211035

OptionVotes

YES

1450

859

Will the Iowa Electronic Markets still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?

Jan 7, 8:34 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

80.14%chance

251750

OptionVotes

YES

1181

934

If Elon Musk leaves Tesla, will Tesla stock be up by the next end of trading day?

Jun 23, 12:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.39%chance

311611

OptionVotes

YES

1976

506

Will AI invent acausal trade and bargain with humans from the future to not kill us?

Jul 1, 1:09 PMJan 22, 11:46 AM

19.38%chance

14517

OptionVotes

YES

1156

939

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The Trade News

Prediction markets for The Trade

Prediction markets for The Trade

Prediction markets for The Trade

What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?

What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024? (open for trading)

Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?

Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?

Will Saudi Arabia adopt the Chinese Yuan for trading oil by 2030?

Will the Federal Trade Commission open an investigation into Mastercard restricting adult content?

By March 15, 2025, will Manifold users still have the authority to resolve markets they have traded on?

Will the NYSE announce 24 hour trading before 2025?

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Will the Iowa Electronic Markets still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?

If Elon Musk leaves Tesla, will Tesla stock be up by the next end of trading day?

Will AI invent acausal trade and bargain with humans from the future to not kill us?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for The Trade

Prediction markets for The Trade

Prediction markets for The Trade

What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?

What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024? (open for trading)

Will the Ending Agricultural Trade Suppression (EATS) Act pass?

Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?

Will Saudi Arabia adopt the Chinese Yuan for trading oil by 2030?

Will the Federal Trade Commission open an investigation into Mastercard restricting adult content?

By March 15, 2025, will Manifold users still have the authority to resolve markets they have traded on?