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The Hacker News News
Prediction markets for The Hacker News
Prediction markets for The Hacker News
What would be true about the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News
Mar 4, 5:27 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
436
When would we have the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News?
Mar 4, 5:34 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
278
What will be the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News?
Jul 21, 1:08 AM
Jul 21, 6:59 AM
0
0
What will be the first Manifold question to get to the front page of Hacker News?
Jul 20, 11:00 PM
Jul 21, 6:59 AM
0
0
Best Prompt Engineering News Source (Permanent)
Apr 16, 2:07 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
2
53
Best Engineering-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)
Apr 4, 4:14 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
6
106
💻Which of these apps/websites will still be working at the end of 2029? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 16, 10:24 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
94
6635
Will the FAO Global Food Index (food prices) for 2024 be higher than that of 2023?
Aug 4, 8:13 AM
Jan 8, 7:59 AM
66.82%
chance
4
26
Option
Votes
NO
YES
133
94
The gap will close between the quality of open source language models and Google's internal language models in 2 years
May 4, 7:05 PM
May 4, 7:05 PM
9.08%
chance
2
150
Option
Votes
YES
NO
220
27
"Large models aren’t more capable in the long run if we can iterate faster on small models" within five years
May 4, 7:11 PM
May 4, 7:05 PM
18.27%
chance
3
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
192
39
"Large models aren’t more capable in the long run if we can iterate faster on small models" within two years
May 4, 7:10 PM
May 4, 7:05 PM
13.15%
chance
4
131
Option
Votes
YES
NO
219
46
The gap will close between the quality of open source language models and Google's internal language models in 5 years
May 4, 7:06 PM
May 4, 7:05 PM
13.42%
chance
3
130
Option
Votes
YES
NO
220
44
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