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The Bread News
Prediction markets for The Bread
Prediction markets for The Bread
Which of these companies will go public (IPO) at a debut valuation of more than $10 billion in 2024?
Nov 28, 11:56 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
35
9388
Which fast food chain in the USA will offer a lab-grown / cultivated meat product first?
Apr 2, 6:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12
128
What items will be included in the first meal eaten on the Martian surface?
Apr 7, 3:27 AM
Apr 2, 3:59 AM
28
1738
Will Steve Horvath continue to abstain from bread/grains by EOY 2027, OR only eat them with acarbose?
Nov 10, 8:08 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Give me your best theories and observations about Moral Breadth
Apr 8, 2:08 AM
0
0
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
Jul 26, 1:31 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
36.06%
chance
18
1026
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1021
939
Will Tassilo Think Singular Learning Theory Isn’t Useful for Alignment by the End of 2024?
Aug 15, 8:41 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
44.47%
chance
13
1086
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1056
947
Will an ai be trained/fine-tuned on Quora by 2035?
Sep 26, 3:31 PM
Dec 31, 4:59 AM
92.46%
chance
13
605
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1472
914
Will gpt4.5 be released by 2025?
Aug 10, 7:40 PM
Dec 31, 6:32 PM
13.63%
chance
43
4145
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2038
462
Will a rwkv model that is over 35B pramaters be released to public or trained but not released into the public by 2030?
Sep 21, 4:55 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
86.25%
chance
4
132
Option
Votes
NO
YES
237
65
Will the image quality of the upcoming DALL·E 3 API be worse than Bing Image Creator, that has Dalle3
Oct 4, 12:22 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
In 50 years will earth have 550ppm?
Jan 12, 10:18 AM
Jan 20, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
1
25
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
Articles
Latest stories
Apple Ends $10 Billion Self-Driving Car Project Without Launch
Authors
10
4 months
Tech
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