Substack News

Elon Musk's X Sees 80-90% Decline in Engagement and Follower Counts
Authors
4
2 days
China
Social
World
Shift in News Consumption: Short-Form Video and Private Chats Rise as Only 22% Rely on Traditional Publishers
Authors
4
9 days
VC
Business

Will Substack publications have at least 5 million paid subscribers by 2025?

Nov 20, 4:11 PMDec 30, 3:00 PM

50.47%chance

13275

OptionVotes

YES

1041

945

Will twitter be subject to regulatory action or penalties for blocking Substack before 2025?

Apr 7, 7:50 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21.71%chance

21670

OptionVotes

YES

1141

919

Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?

Dec 22, 9:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

61.13%chance

10118

OptionVotes

YES

1001

996

Will Substack launch an ad network in 2024?

Dec 18, 1:13 PMDec 31, 8:29 AM

43.68%chance

17697

OptionVotes

YES

1013

970

In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?

Feb 3, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.56%chance

12389

OptionVotes

YES

1202

938

Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?

Jan 4, 3:28 PMDec 21, 7:59 AM

98.76%chance

4766138

OptionVotes

YES

16496

5623

Will Elon Musk's accusation against Substack turn out to be true?

Apr 18, 7:23 PMDec 31, 6:23 PM

20.75%chance

9189

OptionVotes

YES

261

Will Substack be acquired before the end of 2026?

May 3, 2:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.5%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

129

Will Substack's Community WeFunder Round Live Up To Its Valuation?

Apr 19, 12:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.73%chance

667

OptionVotes

YES

154

113

Will I publish at least 30 Substack posts in 2024?

Jan 13, 11:57 PMDec 31, 1:59 PM

75.08%chance

7104

OptionVotes

YES

217

114

Substack stock (permanent)

Feb 27, 6:57 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

446

OptionVotes

YES

170

106

Will Scott Alexander be removed from Substack before 2030

Mar 20, 4:40 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

4.52%chance

9226

OptionVotes

YES

412

148

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Elon Musk's X Sees 80-90% Decline in Engagement and Follower Counts
Authors
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9 days
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5
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12
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5
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Substack News

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Prediction markets for Substack

Prediction markets for Substack

Prediction markets for Substack

Will Substack publications have at least 5 million paid subscribers by 2025?

Will twitter be subject to regulatory action or penalties for blocking Substack before 2025?

Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?

Will Substack launch an ad network in 2024?

In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?

Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?

Will Elon Musk's accusation against Substack turn out to be true?

Will Substack be acquired before the end of 2026?

Will Substack's Community WeFunder Round Live Up To Its Valuation?

Will I publish at least 30 Substack posts in 2024?

Substack stock (permanent)

Will Scott Alexander be removed from Substack before 2030

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Substack

Prediction markets for Substack

Prediction markets for Substack

Will Substack publications have at least 5 million paid subscribers by 2025?

Will twitter be subject to regulatory action or penalties for blocking Substack before 2025?

Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?

Will Substack launch an ad network in 2024?

In 2030, will the majority of the top 10 blogs in Substack’s Politics category be written by humans?