Shorts News

In 2024, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

Mar 2, 7:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.11%chance

491277

OptionVotes

YES

1646

1621

[Short-fuse / hot take] Will the IMO Gold by 2025 Market be Above* 30% for a 1-month window before August 1, 2024?

Apr 27, 7:48 AMAug 2, 6:59 AM

8%chance

1818995

OptionVotes

YES

3391

406

In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

Mar 2, 7:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.97%chance

401086

OptionVotes

YES

2297

1718

Will there be realistic AI generated short films by the end of 2024?

Feb 16, 4:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

42.1%chance

171055

OptionVotes

YES

1073

922

Will PRL-8-53 seem to improve Tetraspace's measured short-term memory?

Oct 11, 9:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.84%chance

7189

OptionVotes

YES

1088

1009

A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.

May 19, 4:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.08%chance

15417

OptionVotes

YES

1144

929

If AI becomes economically dominant will we see Universal Basic Income (UBI) become a reality shortly thereafter?

Sep 28, 9:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.39%chance

15365

OptionVotes

YES

1013

966

Neural Nets will write award-winning short stories and publishable 50k-word books by the end of 2025

Mar 28, 9:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.06%chance

272309

OptionVotes

YES

1449

764

Will the person cast as Link in the Legend of Zelda movie be short?

Nov 8, 12:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.73%chance

11109

OptionVotes

YES

1008

991

If X launches/relaunches short form video content platform will it be named Vine?

Apr 17, 11:47 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

38.82%chance

22331

OptionVotes

YES

1036

968

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

62.07%chance

17243

OptionVotes

YES

1139

891

Will there be a platform that provides personalized short movies by 2030?

Mar 8, 6:15 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

84.73%chance

13330

OptionVotes

YES

1176

934

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Shorts News

Prediction markets for Shorts

Prediction markets for Shorts

Prediction markets for Shorts

In 2024, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

[Short-fuse / hot take] Will the IMO Gold by 2025 Market be Above* 30% for a 1-month window before August 1, 2024?

In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

Will there be realistic AI generated short films by the end of 2024?

Will PRL-8-53 seem to improve Tetraspace's measured short-term memory?

A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.

If AI becomes economically dominant will we see Universal Basic Income (UBI) become a reality shortly thereafter?

Neural Nets will write award-winning short stories and publishable 50k-word books by the end of 2025

Will the person cast as Link in the Legend of Zelda movie be short?

If X launches/relaunches short form video content platform will it be named Vine?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Will there be a platform that provides personalized short movies by 2030?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Shorts

Prediction markets for Shorts

Prediction markets for Shorts

In 2024, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

[Short-fuse / hot take] Will the IMO Gold by 2025 Market be Above* 30% for a 1-month window before August 1, 2024?

In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

Will there be realistic AI generated short films by the end of 2024?

Will PRL-8-53 seem to improve Tetraspace's measured short-term memory?

A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.

If AI becomes economically dominant will we see Universal Basic Income (UBI) become a reality shortly thereafter?