Redwood News

Cynthia Erivo and Idina Menzel Shine at 2024 Tony Awards with 'Wicked' Green Girl Power
Authors
7
12 days
Culture
Idina Menzel to Return to Broadway in New Musical 'Redwood' Co-Conceived in 2025
Authors
11
15 days
Culture

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 2 years?

Apr 26, 5:26 PMApr 27, 6:59 AM

50.35%chance

173750

OptionVotes

YES

997

996

Will Redwood Research still exist in 2 years?

Apr 26, 5:22 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

67.67%chance

11244

OptionVotes

YES

1132

927

By 2028, will I think Redwood Research has been net-good for the world?

Dec 3, 11:22 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

82.28%chance

12402

OptionVotes

YES

1188

934

Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?

Apr 26, 5:22 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

36.14%chance

12272

OptionVotes

YES

1073

944

Will the Tesla "Redwood" be available for purchase and delivery by June 30, 2026?

Jan 29, 11:35 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

44.72%chance

10143

OptionVotes

YES

1008

988

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?

Apr 26, 5:27 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

55.17%chance

9300

OptionVotes

YES

202

135

Will I feel "very happy" about the ex-post results of the Redwood Research sandbagging project on 2025-04-01?

Feb 7, 8:04 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

85.34%chance

5156

OptionVotes

YES

209

Will the Giant Sequoia, a.k.a. Giant Redwood (Sequoiadendron giganteum) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 8:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.93%chance

8218

OptionVotes

YES

436

165

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?

Apr 26, 5:27 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

30%chance

9151

OptionVotes

YES

186

157

Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?

Apr 26, 5:23 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

32.33%chance

7102

OptionVotes

YES

190

154

Will John Redwood lose his seat at the next general election?

May 7, 11:41 AMMar 1, 12:00 PM

46.6%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

136

121

In 2024, will the majority of Redwood researchers think it would have been better if they had left Redwood in 2023?

Aug 1, 8:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.3%chance

547

OptionVotes

YES

150

Latest stories

Cynthia Erivo and Idina Menzel Shine at 2024 Tony Awards with 'Wicked' Green Girl Power
Authors
7
12 days
Culture
Idina Menzel to Return to Broadway in New Musical 'Redwood' Co-Conceived in 2025
Authors
11
15 days
Culture
Tesla to Begin Production of New $25,000 EV Model with 10,000 Weekly Volume in Second Half of 2025
Authors
6
5 months
Economics
Business
Tesla to Begin Production of New Low-Cost EV Model 'Redwood' at Texas Factory in Second Half of 2025, CEO Elon Musk Announces
Authors
7
5 months
China
Economics
World

Redwood News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Redwood

Prediction markets for Redwood

Prediction markets for Redwood

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 2 years?

Will Redwood Research still exist in 2 years?

By 2028, will I think Redwood Research has been net-good for the world?

Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?

Will the Tesla "Redwood" be available for purchase and delivery by June 30, 2026?

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?

Will I feel "very happy" about the ex-post results of the Redwood Research sandbagging project on 2025-04-01?

Will the Giant Sequoia, a.k.a. Giant Redwood (Sequoiadendron giganteum) become extinct in the current century?

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?

Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?

Will John Redwood lose his seat at the next general election?

In 2024, will the majority of Redwood researchers think it would have been better if they had left Redwood in 2023?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Redwood

Prediction markets for Redwood

Prediction markets for Redwood

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 2 years?

Will Redwood Research still exist in 2 years?

By 2028, will I think Redwood Research has been net-good for the world?

Will Redwood Research still exist in 3 years?

Will the Tesla "Redwood" be available for purchase and delivery by June 30, 2026?

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 3 years?

Will I feel "very happy" about the ex-post results of the Redwood Research sandbagging project on 2025-04-01?

Will the Giant Sequoia, a.k.a. Giant Redwood (Sequoiadendron giganteum) become extinct in the current century?

Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?

Will Redwood Research still exist in 5 years?

Will John Redwood lose his seat at the next general election?

In 2024, will the majority of Redwood researchers think it would have been better if they had left Redwood in 2023?

Latest stories