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Open Beta News
Prediction markets for Open Beta
Prediction markets for Open Beta
Will Riot's upcoming game 2KXO, formerly Project L, have an open beta or be fully released before the end of 2024?
Jul 26, 5:19 PM
Jan 2, 12:30 PM
55.1%
chance
12
439
Option
Votes
NO
YES
996
996
Will Riot Games release their MMORPG fully or in open beta before the end of 2025?
Oct 21, 5:31 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
10.15%
chance
22
2614
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2421
612
Will Riot Games release their MMORPG fully or in open beta before the end of 2030?
Dec 17, 12:35 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
40.89%
chance
3
110
Option
Votes
YES
NO
91
39
Will any LLM released by EOY 2025 be dangerously ASL-3 as defined by Anthropic?
Sep 20, 3:16 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
45.88%
chance
42
3237
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1827
1226
Will xAI's Grok release a publicly accessible API by the end of 2024?
Nov 25, 4:47 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
74.1%
chance
17
1091
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1266
876
Will X.com be considered a valid alternative to a bank account at the end of 2024?
Oct 27, 5:36 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.27%
chance
16
1474
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1559
932
Will there be Netflix app for Apple Vision pro by end of 2025?
Feb 1, 8:25 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
71.94%
chance
6
200
Option
Votes
NO
YES
225
137
How many Creeper World games will there be at the beginning of 2030?
Sep 25, 2:54 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
3
320
Will Spellforged release before Fruma?
Jan 26, 3:01 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
77%
chance
4
108
Option
Votes
NO
YES
125
69
Which risk categories and concepts will be explicitly tracked by OpenAI's preparedness framework by end of 2024?
Dec 18, 8:09 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
10
541
Will there be Spotify app for Apple Vision pro by end of 2025?
Feb 1, 8:27 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
73.24%
chance
9
214
Option
Votes
NO
YES
247
127
Will there be YouTube app for Apple Vision pro by end of 2025?
Feb 1, 8:27 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
66.8%
chance
5
206
Option
Votes
YES
NO
132
82
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6
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6
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