Nobel Prize News

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Jan 26, 12:54 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.19%chance

9710254

OptionVotes

YES

1610

1560

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Oct 3, 10:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.28%chance

714986

OptionVotes

YES

1680

1317

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Dec 12, 7:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.67%chance

373225

OptionVotes

YES

1013

859

Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?

Sep 18, 1:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

50.26%chance

22777

OptionVotes

YES

1000

997

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Mar 9, 4:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.37%chance

18525

OptionVotes

YES

1033

931

Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?

Feb 20, 3:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.05%chance

12141

OptionVotes

YES

1022

983

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

39.17%chance

271215

OptionVotes

YES

1065

853

Will Daron Acemoglu win a Nobel Prize by 2028?

May 25, 2:56 AMDec 1, 11:59 PM

33.58%chance

17927

OptionVotes

YES

1001

958

Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

Oct 8, 10:08 PMJan 13, 6:59 AM

27.96%chance

14278

OptionVotes

YES

1072

954

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Dec 22, 7:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.96%chance

30964

OptionVotes

YES

1038

955

Nobel Prize by 2026 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?

Aug 1, 6:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.79%chance

19761

OptionVotes

YES

1053

965

Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2024 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?

Mar 14, 3:36 PMDec 13, 4:59 AM

19.57%chance

33986

OptionVotes

YES

1252

904

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Nobel Prize News

Prediction markets for Nobel Prize

Prediction markets for Nobel Prize

Prediction markets for Nobel Prize

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Will Daron Acemoglu win a Nobel Prize by 2028?

Will Haruki Murakami ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Nobel Prize by 2026 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?

Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2024 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Nobel Prize

Prediction markets for Nobel Prize

Prediction markets for Nobel Prize

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will someone win a Nobel prize in Economics for contributions to blockchain/cryptocurrencies by 2040?

Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?

Will Susan Athey win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?