New Year News

Will I grow B-cups by New Years Eve?

Feb 27, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.98%chance

14417

OptionVotes

YES

2764

2733

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Jun 11, 4:45 PMJun 18, 8:59 PM

222862

Will any country grant legal rights to any new "nonhuman" entities (AI, robots, aliens...) before end of year 2040?

Mar 30, 1:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.88%chance

521979

OptionVotes

YES

1243

1205

Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?

Jul 1, 12:42 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

26.46%chance

23143143

OptionVotes

YES

1755

1736

Will Alex Jones start a new media venture within 2 years of Infowars being shut down?

Jun 29, 5:51 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM

57.76%chance

6285

OptionVotes

YES

1169

855

Will at least 5 new frog species be described / discovered in the year 2024 by the Natural History Museum in the UK?

Dec 29, 5:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.7%chance

22358

OptionVotes

YES

1131

926

By 2031, will any new TIME Person of the Year have been selected for their negative influence?

Oct 7, 2:02 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

56.08%chance

15784

OptionVotes

YES

1050

946

Will OpenAI / Sam Altman fund the construction of new semiconductor fabs this year?

Jan 21, 8:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.64%chance

324554

OptionVotes

YES

1521

812

Will Ethereum (ETH) reach a new all-time high before the end of the year?

Mar 26, 2:45 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

68.26%chance

15464

OptionVotes

YES

1145

910

Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles within two years?

Feb 19, 12:00 PMFeb 19, 10:59 PM

75.76%chance

371521

OptionVotes

YES

1021

807

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

63.83%chance

23505

OptionVotes

YES

1080

940

Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album in the next two years?

Jan 25, 1:13 AMJan 25, 5:59 AM

34.56%chance

231153

OptionVotes

YES

1181

876

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New Year News

Prediction markets for New Year

Prediction markets for New Year

Prediction markets for New Year

Will I grow B-cups by New Years Eve?

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Will any country grant legal rights to any new "nonhuman" entities (AI, robots, aliens...) before end of year 2040?

Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?

Will Alex Jones start a new media venture within 2 years of Infowars being shut down?

Will at least 5 new frog species be described / discovered in the year 2024 by the Natural History Museum in the UK?

By 2031, will any new TIME Person of the Year have been selected for their negative influence?

Will OpenAI / Sam Altman fund the construction of new semiconductor fabs this year?

Will Ethereum (ETH) reach a new all-time high before the end of the year?

Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles within two years?

Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)

Will Kendrick Lamar release a new album in the next two years?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for New Year

Prediction markets for New Year

Prediction markets for New Year

Will I grow B-cups by New Years Eve?

Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?

Will any country grant legal rights to any new "nonhuman" entities (AI, robots, aliens...) before end of year 2040?

Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?

Will Alex Jones start a new media venture within 2 years of Infowars being shut down?

Will at least 5 new frog species be described / discovered in the year 2024 by the Natural History Museum in the UK?

By 2031, will any new TIME Person of the Year have been selected for their negative influence?

Will OpenAI / Sam Altman fund the construction of new semiconductor fabs this year?

Will Ethereum (ETH) reach a new all-time high before the end of the year?

Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles within two years?