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Nature Genetics News
Prediction markets for Nature Genetics
Prediction markets for Nature Genetics
Will Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?
Oct 8, 9:05 AM
Dec 16, 7:59 AM
7%
chance
17
2181
Option
Votes
NO
YES
985
448
Will Koi be the first species we uplift?
Dec 20, 7:30 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
12.65%
chance
67
8513
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2655
1191
are LLMs easy to align because unsupervised learning imbues them with an ontology where human values are easy to express
Aug 29, 2:34 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
31.6%
chance
12
556
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1122
899
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PM
Dec 18, 2:59 PM
62.07%
chance
17
243
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1139
891
Will someone create an "unauthorized" culture of Lantern Bioworks strain BCS3-L1 from someone else's mouth before 2026?
Sep 27, 6:24 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
75.55%
chance
9
371
Option
Votes
NO
YES
260
182
A sitting supreme court justice becomes a parent while in office by mid 2036
Nov 12, 4:21 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
14.67%
chance
5
180
Option
Votes
YES
NO
189
54
A sitting US President becomes a parent while in office by mid 2036
Nov 12, 4:23 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
12.77%
chance
7
281
Option
Votes
YES
NO
221
97
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4
8 months
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8 months
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