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Top stories

Indonesian Muslim Metal Band VoB to Make History at Glastonbury Festival, Their Biggest Stage Yet
Authors
6
2 days
Economics
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Anti-Muslim Incidents Double to 1,926 in Germany, NGO Reports
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Culture

Prediction markets for Muslim

Will SNEAKO self-identify as a Muslim as of January 1st 2025?

Apr 25, 6:22 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

75.7%chance

192824

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1823

329

Will an EU country mass-expel Muslims by 2050?

Aug 5, 7:19 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.21%chance

291196

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

853

Will non-Muslims be required to pay jizya in any EU country by the end of 2050?

Apr 8, 3:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.96%chance

212634

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

731

Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized for at least non-Muslims in any Muslim-majority country before 2030?

Jul 1, 11:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.13%chance

372179

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

823

Will any big western EU or UK city (as of 2023) have more than 50% Muslim population by 2050?

Sep 10, 12:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

54.61%chance

14218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

970

Will the first person to walk on Mars be Muslim?

Apr 7, 5:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.88%chance

21724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1315

900

Will the majority of Muslim voters vote for Biden in the 2024 US presidential election?

Nov 2, 7:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

86.92%chance

202099

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1120

954

Will the United States have a Muslim president by end of 2040?

Feb 26, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.81%chance

14768

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1391

906

Will the prohibition of Muslim abayas in French schools be revoked before 2030?

Sep 6, 10:41 AMJan 13, 9:59 PM

61.77%chance

317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

106

Will Joe Biden lose the 2024 presidential election because of a decrease in support from Muslim Americans?

Nov 27, 7:40 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM

22.81%chance

780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

270

153

Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be Muslim?

May 6, 3:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.89%chance

6358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

441

23

Will the religions authorities of at least 100m Muslims accept that lab grown pork can be okay to eat?

Feb 26, 2:01 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

19.08%chance

7209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

342

135

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