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Mission First News
Prediction markets for Mission First
Prediction markets for Mission First
Will the first mission of Grand Theft Auto 6 take place in a prison?
Dec 5, 11:08 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
46.19%
chance
17
212
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1023
975
In which year will there be the first human mission to Mars?
Oct 21, 6:52 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
8
413
Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Sep 16, 2:47 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
65.98%
chance
2
24
Option
Votes
NO
YES
114
73
Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?
Oct 30, 1:58 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 AM
49%
chance
5
262
Option
Votes
NO
YES
94
85
What year will SpaceX first launch two crewed missions within a day?
Mar 21, 12:28 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
7
591
When will the first crewed mission of the Gaganyaan spacecraft launch?
Jun 7, 7:04 PM
Oct 10, 9:59 PM
49.9%
chance
3
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
301
279
Will there be an all-female crew as part of the first six missions to land on mars?
Apr 21, 10:01 AM
May 31, 3:59 PM
23.28%
chance
8
280
Option
Votes
YES
NO
333
189
Will the first manned mission to mars have a Chinese national on board?
Dec 12, 2:32 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
29.42%
chance
7
103
Option
Votes
YES
NO
214
109
Will someone sing the Elton John song "Rocket Man" during any part of the first manned mission to mars?
Jan 2, 7:55 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
34.61%
chance
3
75
Option
Votes
YES
NO
101
80
Which African country will be the first to host or lead a successful mission to land a probe or human on the Moon?
May 2, 6:05 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
31
Will SpaceX's first Starship Cargo mission successfully land on the moon?
Sep 11, 10:35 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
78%
chance
8
322
Option
Votes
NO
YES
343
107
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Mar 26, 4:52 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
64.07%
chance
145
10865
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10119
9758
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Authors
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2 months
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