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May Day News
Prediction markets for May Day
Prediction markets for May Day
Will there be a 'Capital Day' on May 1st in the future as 'Labor Day' will get obsolete?
May 1, 10:10 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
11.22%
chance
13
454
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1282
918
Will the price of a Costco hot dog raise above $1.50 by Star Wars Day 2028? (May 4th)
Dec 13, 5:56 AM
May 5, 3:59 AM
8.86%
chance
18
4090
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1500
902
Which days will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of? (May 16-Aug 23)
May 14, 9:38 PM
Aug 1, 4:59 AM
146
166997
How many days will Rishi Sunak remain as Prime Minister after the close of polls in the local elections on May 2nd?
Apr 23, 8:23 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
12
940
In what ways will Manifold be like Fliff, the social sports betting app inspiring the Pivot, by end of year?
Apr 25, 6:51 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
20
2166
What will be true about GPT-5?
Mar 12, 1:45 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
178
18717
Which, if any, responsible gaming features will Manifold implement by the end of the year?
Apr 24, 5:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7
88
Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?
Oct 26, 5:58 PM
Nov 6, 5:59 AM
50.99%
chance
85
17789
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1800
1080
Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 1st October 2024? [10,000 Mana subsidy]
Apr 17, 2:17 PM
Sep 30, 10:59 PM
96.86%
chance
229
91315
Option
Votes
NO
YES
48592
7944
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.29%
chance
11
1709
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4632
4000
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
Nov 30, 4:57 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
35.72%
chance
152
1200702
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2338
538
Will my posture be essentially normal in a year (on January 17, 2025)?
Jan 18, 4:08 PM
Jan 18, 7:59 AM
40.74%
chance
10
874
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2758
1733
Articles
Latest stories
China's Neo-Chinese Style Tourism Boosts Market Growth, 6,300 Measures, 1.897M Trips, Bookings Giant Earnings
Authors
5
1 month
China
World
3 Dead, 18 Injured in Alabama May Day Party Shooting; Suspects Arrested
Authors
15
2 months
New York
Politics
China Home Sales Plunge 47% Y/Y, Down 30% from 2019 During May Day
Authors
4
2 months
China
Economics
World
China Sees Surge in Travel with 8.46M Border Trips, 295M Domestic Trips, 166.89B Yuan Spending
Authors
22
2 months
China
Economics
World
China's Vanke Faces $201 Million Bond Repayments Amid Weak May Day Holiday Home Sales; Hong Kong Stock Index Rises for 10th Day
Authors
9
2 months
China
Economics
World
China's May Day Holiday Sees Record 20.69 Million Railway Passengers, Domestic Ticketing Surges, Border Trips Up 35.1%
Authors
21
2 months
China
Economics
World
Antifa Vandalizes Businesses, Torches Police Cars in May Day/Gaza Riots; Arson Probe Underway
Authors
10
2 months
Israel
Crime
World
China Railways Set Record with 144M Trips, Peak 20.69M in a Day, May 1-5
Authors
17
2 months
China
Asia
World
PSU Shut as Antifa Siege Continues; May Day Riot Damages Downtown Portland
Authors
5
2 months
Israel
Crime
World
Thousands Join Bay Area May Day Protests with Marches, Rallies for Better Pay and Palestine Solidarity
Authors
14
2 months
Israel
San Francisco
World
NYC, Bay Area May Day Rallies Support Palestine; Protest NYPD Actions
Authors
8
2 months
Israel
New York
World
Clashes and Injuries in France's Labor Day Protests; Police Use Batons, Tear Gas
Authors
6
2 months
Israel
Crime
World
Violent Clashes at May Day Protests in Paris; 45 Arrested, 12 Police Injured
Authors
7
2 months
Israel
Economics
Crime
Global Observance of May Day 2024 Highlights Solidarity and Labor Rights
Authors
54
2 months
Politics
May Day Marches in Argentina and Colombia; President Petro Leads Protests for Social Reforms by Gustavo Petro
Authors
4
2 months
Economics
Business
Istanbul May Day Clashes: Police Use Tear Gas, Bullets; Over 200 Detained
Authors
16
2 months
Crime
Politics
Culture
UK May Day Protests Target Arms Sales to Israel Amid Gaza Genocide
Authors
10
2 months
Israel
Britain
World
China Expects 270 Million Daily Trips During Labor Day Holiday, Q1 Domestic Trips Up 16.7% YoY, Tourist Expenditure Tops 1.52 Trillion Yuan ($209.8 Billion), Railway Department Plans to Add Trains
Authors
7
2 months
China
Asia
World
PBOC Injects 440 Billion Yuan in 7-Day Reverse Repos at 1.80%, Sets Yuan Mid-Point at 7.1063
Authors
5
2 months
China
Economics
World
Tory insiders predict 'bloodbath' in local elections for Rishi Sunak, potential leadership change; rebels aim to oust him, leading to May Day from hell
Authors
8
3 months
Britain
World
UK PM Rishi Sunak Faces Confidence Vote Amid Election Turmoil, Polls Suggest Risk to Seat
Authors
6
3 months
Britain
World
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