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Prediction markets for MAG

Will there be a mag-lev train using ambient-temperature superconductivity by Jan 1st 2030?

Aug 1, 5:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.13%chance

8318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

82

Immersed Visor: Will be reviewed at 4+/5 by PC Mag?

Mar 25, 6:19 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

36.75%chance

658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

444

381

Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?

Feb 22, 4:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.08%chance

129180291

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141623

72962

Who will be Time Magazine's 2024 Person of the Year?

Nov 3, 8:15 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

526339228

Will the New York Times Magazine kill their variety puzzle page by end of 2024? [M$1000 subsidy]

Aug 8, 8:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.65%chance

23985

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YES

NO

1595

1306

Will anyone top Magnus Carlsen's peak ELO of 2882 by the end of 2026?

Dec 7, 11:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

19.13%chance

323263

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YES

NO

2804

747

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

30.4%chance

649117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1379

759

Is it better for battery health to charge new M1 Macbooks via Magsafe rather than USB-C?

May 19, 12:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.07%chance

211238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

1353

Will the Magic: The Gathering reserved list be removed or broken before 2030?

Mar 11, 4:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.4%chance

15705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

937

Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 11:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.78%chance

382547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1679

328

Will Kevin Magnussen receive a race ban during the 2024 F1 season

May 7, 5:15 AMDec 9, 7:59 AM

73.13%chance

301844

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NO

YES

1399

960

Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2025? (May 5)

May 5, 2:48 PMMay 6, 3:59 AM

60.02%chance

17868

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1139

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