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Top stories

Kabul Evacuation Under Scrutiny: Trudeau, Sajjan, and Media Allegations
Authors
5
19 hours
Canada
Economics
Crime

Prediction markets for Liberals

Will Basil Zempilas become the leader of the Liberal Party before the next state election?

Jun 21, 7:48 PMMar 8, 3:59 PM

50.48%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10097

9904

Will the Liberal Party form the next Canadian government?

Sep 11, 5:08 AMOct 21, 6:59 AM

12.28%chance

17962420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8108

1875

Will the Liberal Democrats be the third-largest party at the next UK general election (third-largest number of seats)?

May 8, 12:30 PMMar 1, 12:00 PM

77.5%chance

8117356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1705

646

Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 40 seats at the next UK general election?

May 10, 11:06 AMMar 1, 12:00 PM

71.86%chance

252855

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1673

246

Will Justin Trudeau lead the Liberal Party in the next federal election in Canada?

Oct 9, 6:28 AMOct 20, 9:59 PM

59.55%chance

212370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

583

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term?

Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM

85.8%chance

9214268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2013

857

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.47%chance

18865

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

878

Will the next federal Canadian election go to the liberals?

Oct 11, 12:40 AMOct 20, 7:59 AM

20.14%chance

142690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1351

880

Canada Politics: Will Justin Trudeau remain the leader of the Liberal party through 2024?

Dec 17, 9:05 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.99%chance

181309

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1194

413

Will Peter Dutton be leader of the Liberal Party of Australia on election day of the next Australian federal election?

Feb 16, 12:59 AMSep 29, 3:59 AM

84.04%chance

222164

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1434

823

Will the Colombian government and National Liberation Army (ELN) rebels announce a comprehensive agreement before the end of President Gustavo Petro’s term?

Jan 15, 4:17 PMAug 8, 2:59 AM

57.21%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

973

Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030

Jan 6, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.39%chance

361489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

788

Articles

Latest stories

Kabul Evacuation Under Scrutiny: Trudeau, Sajjan, and Media Allegations
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4 months
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