Hamas attack on Israel News

On the first anniversary of October 7th attacks, will the Israel-Hamas war still be ongoing?

Mar 26, 5:28 AMOct 8, 6:59 AM

81.18%chance

271056

OptionVotes

YES

1626

777

Will Hezbollah attack northern Israel before Sept. 2024, similarly to how Hamas attacked southern Israel on October 7?

Apr 29, 3:16 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

16.76%chance

9231

OptionVotes

YES

479

230

What was a greater motivating factor for the 10/7 Hamas terrorist attack on Israel: self-determination or anti-Semitism?

Mar 22, 3:10 PM

180

Did the explosive May 26 2024 Rafah strike by Israel hit a Palestinian weapons cache?

May 31, 4:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.59%chance

302187

OptionVotes

YES

1350

740

Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?

Oct 17, 12:20 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.69%chance

1009415

OptionVotes

YES

1426

835

Yahya Sinwar killed or captured by Israeli forces by end of 2024?

Nov 2, 9:44 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

28.74%chance

596593

OptionVotes

YES

1507

676

Will Israel hold elections before 7th October 2024?

Jun 17, 9:31 AMOct 6, 10:59 PM

15.07%chance

262864

OptionVotes

YES

2374

421

[Metaculus] Will any Israeli officials charged by the International Criminal Court before 2027?

Nov 28, 12:08 AMJan 2, 5:00 PM

89.78%chance

142954

OptionVotes

YES

1725

773

Mohammed Deif (Hamas military commander) killed or captured by Israeli forces by end of 2024?

Oct 31, 1:55 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

31.59%chance

443179

OptionVotes

YES

1252

729

Will any Hamas terrorists be arrested in the US in the next year? (Oct 8th, 2024)

Oct 12, 7:20 PMOct 16, 5:59 AM

7.3%chance

161048

OptionVotes

YES

1633

891

Will there be riots involving Jewish / Arab citizens in Israel comparable to the 2021 riots as a result of 10/7 attack?

Oct 21, 9:07 AMDec 1, 9:59 PM

9.15%chance

7284

OptionVotes

YES

396

How many of the FT writers’ predictions for the world in 2024 will turn out to be correct?

Dec 31, 1:48 PMDec 30, 9:59 PM

49%chance

4208

OptionVotes

YES

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Hamas attack on Israel News

Prediction markets for Hamas attack on Israel

Prediction markets for Hamas attack on Israel

Prediction markets for Hamas attack on Israel

On the first anniversary of October 7th attacks, will the Israel-Hamas war still be ongoing?

Will Hezbollah attack northern Israel before Sept. 2024, similarly to how Hamas attacked southern Israel on October 7?

What was a greater motivating factor for the 10/7 Hamas terrorist attack on Israel: self-determination or anti-Semitism?

Did the explosive May 26 2024 Rafah strike by Israel hit a Palestinian weapons cache?

Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?

Yahya Sinwar killed or captured by Israeli forces by end of 2024?

Will Israel hold elections before 7th October 2024?

[Metaculus] Will any Israeli officials charged by the International Criminal Court before 2027?

Mohammed Deif (Hamas military commander) killed or captured by Israeli forces by end of 2024?

Will any Hamas terrorists be arrested in the US in the next year? (Oct 8th, 2024)

Will there be riots involving Jewish / Arab citizens in Israel comparable to the 2021 riots as a result of 10/7 attack?

How many of the FT writers’ predictions for the world in 2024 will turn out to be correct?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Hamas attack on Israel

Prediction markets for Hamas attack on Israel

Prediction markets for Hamas attack on Israel

On the first anniversary of October 7th attacks, will the Israel-Hamas war still be ongoing?

Will Hezbollah attack northern Israel before Sept. 2024, similarly to how Hamas attacked southern Israel on October 7?

What was a greater motivating factor for the 10/7 Hamas terrorist attack on Israel: self-determination or anti-Semitism?

Did the explosive May 26 2024 Rafah strike by Israel hit a Palestinian weapons cache?

Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?

Yahya Sinwar killed or captured by Israeli forces by end of 2024?

Will Israel hold elections before 7th October 2024?