Google Search News

Google Develops Custom Chatbots to Rival Meta and Character AI, Launch in 2024
Authors
13
6 days
Economics
AI
Business

Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?

Mar 6, 8:47 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

6.69%chance

13221418

OptionVotes

YES

7386

637

Will OpenAI release a competitor to Google Search before 2025?

Feb 15, 5:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.05%chance

196119347

OptionVotes

YES

1056

919

Will Google search default to a chatbot like interface by end of 2024?

Feb 6, 11:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.37%chance

11542986

OptionVotes

YES

8108

572

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

34.12%chance

433167

OptionVotes

YES

1390

1219

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?

Mar 17, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.81%chance

21497

OptionVotes

YES

1068

956

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?

Mar 17, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.06%chance

21377

OptionVotes

YES

1050

942

By the end of 2024, will Manifold's search function still be worse than Google at finding relevant markets?

Sep 22, 7:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.1%chance

14599

OptionVotes

YES

1033

918

Will I have found a website which I consider a compelling Google search alternative by 2025

Nov 18, 7:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.6%chance

17769

OptionVotes

YES

1038

970

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.76%chance

505168

OptionVotes

YES

1437

849

Will Google win its search antitrust trial?

Oct 11, 11:01 AMAug 1, 3:59 AM

28.57%chance

472096

OptionVotes

YES

1234

880

Bing's market share of search passes google's by 2030

Dec 26, 8:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

341015

OptionVotes

YES

1014

980

Will Google still be the most popular search engine at the end of 2024?

Jan 29, 5:19 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

96.36%chance

1069003

OptionVotes

YES

5395

1783

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Google Search News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Google Search

Prediction markets for Google Search

Prediction markets for Google Search

Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?

Will OpenAI release a competitor to Google Search before 2025?

Will Google search default to a chatbot like interface by end of 2024?

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?

By the end of 2024, will Manifold's search function still be worse than Google at finding relevant markets?

Will I have found a website which I consider a compelling Google search alternative by 2025

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Will Google win its search antitrust trial?

Bing's market share of search passes google's by 2030

Will Google still be the most popular search engine at the end of 2024?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Google Search

Prediction markets for Google Search

Prediction markets for Google Search

Will there ever be more Google search volume about AI Alignment than about Light Pollution, for any day before EOY 2024?

Will OpenAI release a competitor to Google Search before 2025?

Will Google search default to a chatbot like interface by end of 2024?

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?

By the end of 2024, will Manifold's search function still be worse than Google at finding relevant markets?

Will I have found a website which I consider a compelling Google search alternative by 2025