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Prediction markets for General

UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win?

May 22, 4:35 PMJul 3, 6:59 AM

595436377

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

Apr 27, 7:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.33%chance

477155681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13056

12751

If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?

Mar 24, 2:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19880091

If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?

Mar 24, 2:01 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

513321796

Will the Conservative vote at the 2024 General Election be HIGHER than their 2019 European Election result of 9%?

Jun 10, 9:14 AMJul 3, 10:59 PM

94%chance

1730457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

40087

2800

Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?

Feb 13, 8:04 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

70.09%chance

38165595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11743

6690

UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win? (Precise)

May 22, 4:25 PMJul 3, 6:59 AM

6622849

In which year will Artificial General Rationalussy become available?

Oct 14, 9:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

133805

In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?

Jul 2, 11:10 AMFeb 16, 1:48 PM

14033781

If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?

Feb 22, 7:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

20830648

UK General Election - which party will win the second most seats?

Mar 22, 9:45 AMNov 24, 11:59 PM

147107325

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Apr 5, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.5%chance

22614658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2585

1519

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