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Prediction markets for General
Prediction markets for General
UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win?
May 22, 4:35 PM
Jul 4, 8:59 PM
618
474713
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
Apr 27, 7:21 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
35.33%
chance
477
155681
Option
Votes
YES
NO
13056
12751
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
199
80893
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
513
325877
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
Feb 13, 8:04 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
70.09%
chance
381
65595
Option
Votes
YES
NO
11743
6690
UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win? (Precise)
May 22, 4:25 PM
Jul 4, 8:59 PM
76
34346
In which year will Artificial General Rationalussy become available?
Oct 14, 9:19 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
13
3805
In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?
Jul 2, 11:10 AM
Feb 16, 1:48 PM
140
33883
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
Feb 22, 7:11 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
208
30648
By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
Apr 5, 4:25 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
41.48%
chance
227
14708
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2634
1483
If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
Apr 19, 7:38 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.37%
chance
95
9592
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1993
1938
Will a democrat win the state attorney general election in Pennsylvania in 2024?
Oct 18, 9:25 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
51.51%
chance
4
46
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1626
1555
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