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Prediction markets for festival
Prediction markets for festival
Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]
Mar 28, 9:40 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
15.83%
chance
100
27192
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3723
1183
Will I perform at Fyre Festival II?
Jan 12, 5:22 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
19.1%
chance
31
899
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2788
2271
Will there be a second Fyre Festival?
Apr 23, 1:01 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
33.85%
chance
41
5279
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1375
513
Will Fyre Festival 2 Make a Profit?
Aug 23, 12:44 PM
Dec 25, 1:29 PM
60.02%
chance
5
37
Option
Votes
NO
YES
115
104
Will Fyre Festival 2 actually happen before the end of 2025?
May 2, 6:13 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
48.1%
chance
3
4
Option
Votes
YES
NO
104
96
Will Serie be alive at the end of the Foundation Festival arc?
Apr 11, 7:11 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
81.01%
chance
4
129
Option
Votes
NO
YES
359
168
Will Fyre Festival 2 be a success? (No immediate lawsuits, people generally happy)
Aug 23, 12:44 PM
Dec 25, 1:29 PM
47.48%
chance
10
555
Option
Votes
NO
YES
174
154
Player Eras Festival prop bets (Las Vegas Thanksgiving week college basketball event)
May 9, 1:53 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3
26
La Rochelle Bingo : what will I experience/encounter during my trip ? (add options) (+side bounty)
Mar 31, 3:14 PM
Sep 1, 9:59 PM
14
6317
US Google Trends: Which of these keywords will surpass their 2023 peak in 2024?
Jan 11, 7:36 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
72
27128
Will the widespread blacklisting of AI art be sustained to 2028?
Jun 15, 5:09 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24.8%
chance
39
1685
Option
Votes
NO
YES
985
979
Will LessOnline 2025 and Manifest 2025 be within two weeks of each other?
Jun 12, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
74.68%
chance
4
898
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1717
582
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