Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
earthquake and tsunami News
Prediction markets for earthquake and tsunami
Prediction markets for earthquake and tsunami
Will AI be able to accurately predict natural disasters with a week's notice by 2030?
Mar 3, 5:59 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
4.88%
chance
18
1520
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2095
840
Will the Cascadia subduction zone experience a Megathrust earthquake before 2050?
Sep 6, 6:10 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
37.45%
chance
9
171
Option
Votes
YES
NO
226
163
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Dec 20, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6.18%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
29
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe in 2024
Sep 11, 4:23 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
34.38%
chance
4
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
135
93
[Metaculus] Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?
Nov 7, 2:18 PM
Jan 1, 10:00 PM
20.26%
chance
5
84
Option
Votes
YES
NO
172
107
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
Jan 1, 4:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
38.23%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
81.61%
chance
4
163
Option
Votes
NO
YES
189
74
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Sep 11, 4:21 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Articles
Latest stories
Japan's PM Kishida Cabinet Support Hits New Low, 13th Anniversary of 2011 Disaster Marked, Akane First Japanese ICC President, Fukushima Reconstruction Efforts
Authors
9
4 months
Japan
Crime
World
Previous
Next
