Designer News

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Dec 2, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.56%chance

16870748

OptionVotes

YES

2080

1864

Will OpenAI release a technical report on a model designed for AI alignment research? (2024)

Mar 26, 1:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.13%chance

7135484

OptionVotes

YES

4318

886

Will OpenAI release weights to a model designed to be easily interpretable (2024)?

Mar 26, 1:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.1%chance

7721318

OptionVotes

YES

1978

1900

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

11.95%chance

7715723

OptionVotes

YES

3369

2004

Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs in the next 2 years?

May 12, 9:26 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM

54.25%chance

21618

OptionVotes

YES

1401

1077

Neural Nets will be able to design, code and distribute whole apps by the end of 2025.

Mar 28, 9:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.08%chance

273062

OptionVotes

YES

1196

826

Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?

Oct 8, 12:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.04%chance

22422

OptionVotes

YES

1002

990

Will 𝕏 change its logo design to a new (permanent) one before 2027 ?

Jan 23, 12:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

66.34%chance

22442

OptionVotes

YES

996

991

By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention?

May 19, 6:49 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

24.14%chance

551295

OptionVotes

YES

999

985

Will a leading perfume house launch a fragrance entirely designed by an AI by 2025?

May 19, 3:38 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

23.37%chance

22405

OptionVotes

YES

1000

988

Is 1,000 atoms ever sufficient for the experience of suffering, under any design or any circumstance? (Upgradable KBC, resolves in 2025)

Feb 6, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.22%chance

17496

OptionVotes

YES

1169

924

Will a quantum money that can support a long-term galactic civilization be designed before 2035?

Jul 23, 4:19 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22%chance

11492

OptionVotes

YES

1041

974

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Designer News

Prediction markets for Designer

Prediction markets for Designer

Prediction markets for Designer

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Will OpenAI release a technical report on a model designed for AI alignment research? (2024)

Will OpenAI release weights to a model designed to be easily interpretable (2024)?

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs in the next 2 years?

Neural Nets will be able to design, code and distribute whole apps by the end of 2025.

Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?

Will 𝕏 change its logo design to a new (permanent) one before 2027 ?

By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention?

Will a leading perfume house launch a fragrance entirely designed by an AI by 2025?

Is 1,000 atoms ever sufficient for the experience of suffering, under any design or any circumstance? (Upgradable KBC, resolves in 2025)

Will a quantum money that can support a long-term galactic civilization be designed before 2035?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Designer

Prediction markets for Designer

Prediction markets for Designer

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Will OpenAI release a technical report on a model designed for AI alignment research? (2024)

Will OpenAI release weights to a model designed to be easily interpretable (2024)?

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs in the next 2 years?

Neural Nets will be able to design, code and distribute whole apps by the end of 2025.

Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?