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CREATE AI Act News
Prediction markets for CREATE AI Act
Prediction markets for CREATE AI Act
Will an unaligned AI or an aligned AI controlled by a malicious actor create a "wake-up call" for humanity on AI safety?
Apr 7, 6:09 PM
Apr 7, 10:59 PM
68.11%
chance
10
131
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1021
984
Conditional on a seed AI existing, will it actually create successors?
Feb 24, 1:16 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
64.3%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
75
Will someone be convicted just for making AI porn in the US?
Mar 3, 10:19 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
93.55%
chance
46
4011
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3041
110
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
26.88%
chance
16
1520
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1243
874
Will a movie featuring an AI-generated actor win a major film award by the end of 2024?
May 8, 5:08 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.12%
chance
35
1151
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1042
969
How difficult will Anthropic say the AI alignment problem is?
Aug 8, 7:48 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
7
135
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38
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6
4 months
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14
5 months
AI
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