Continuing Resolution News

[Mega Market] What will the US Congress do in 2024?

Dec 29, 6:35 PMJan 3, 9:59 PM

406853

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Jan 22, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.96%chance

9511348

OptionVotes

YES

11619

10691

Will a high-volume prediction market expect OpenAI to create AGI before 2030?

Mar 25, 3:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

78.13%chance

703234

OptionVotes

YES

2985

1667

Will Nevada stay blue in 2024

Sep 5, 3:41 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

48.61%chance

233966

OptionVotes

YES

1078

909

By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?

May 21, 6:12 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

53.12%chance

496378

OptionVotes

YES

1065

939

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.24%chance

696475

OptionVotes

YES

1684

1350

Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?

Oct 24, 1:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60.71%chance

588565

OptionVotes

YES

1097

1056

[ACX 2024] Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 6:00 PM

87.58%chance

11219211

OptionVotes

YES

2305

1038

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

69.47%chance

34967

OptionVotes

YES

1084

946

Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status

Feb 18, 7:31 PMMay 9, 6:59 AM

33.87%chance

14292

OptionVotes

YES

997

995

Self-sustaining automated global economy by 2050?

Nov 13, 9:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

10133

OptionVotes

YES

1097

950

Will the US pass a Full Budget before 2025?

Oct 14, 7:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.35%chance

457480

OptionVotes

YES

1111

931

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Continuing Resolution News

Prediction markets for Continuing Resolution

Prediction markets for Continuing Resolution

Prediction markets for Continuing Resolution

[Mega Market] What will the US Congress do in 2024?

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Will a high-volume prediction market expect OpenAI to create AGI before 2030?

Will Nevada stay blue in 2024

By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?

[ACX 2024] Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status

Self-sustaining automated global economy by 2050?

Will the US pass a Full Budget before 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Continuing Resolution

Prediction markets for Continuing Resolution

Prediction markets for Continuing Resolution

[Mega Market] What will the US Congress do in 2024?

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Will a high-volume prediction market expect OpenAI to create AGI before 2030?

Will Nevada stay blue in 2024

By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?