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Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?

Dec 30, 8:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.11%chance

12488282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

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997

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

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5%chance

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OptionVotes

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YES

971

764

Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?

Feb 10, 1:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

4.47%chance

471817

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NO

2043

893

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

69.47%chance

34967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

946

Will Christian Horner be removed from his position as Red Bull team principal?

Mar 4, 2:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.86%chance

231952

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YES

NO

1437

765

Will Christian Lindner (german secretary of finance) be out of office before the next federal election?

Jan 14, 8:16 PMSep 22, 11:59 PM

18.06%chance

233804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

967

947

Will Christian Horner be the Red Bull team principal at the start of the 2024 Formula 1 summer break?

Feb 6, 3:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

94.22%chance

325579

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YES

2474

677

Is America on the brink of a Christian revival?

May 1, 1:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.8%chance

12558

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YES

NO

1253

974

How many total touchdowns will Christian McCaffrey score in the 2024 regular season?

May 9, 7:02 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

7132

[Metaculus] Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negot... for Germany before 2030?

Mar 3, 3:42 AMJan 1, 11:00 PM

13.83%chance

9818

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NO

529

172

Will there have been a new president who isn't a Protestant or non denominational Christian by Inauguration Day 2045?

Jul 23, 6:14 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

69.12%chance

8277

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YES

155

140

Will over 10% of Manifold users believe that Christianity is true at the end of 2024?

Feb 28, 8:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.99%chance

497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

243

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