AI Assistant News

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Jan 8, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.34%chance

352005

OptionVotes

YES

1157

833

Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does?

Dec 3, 2:54 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

29.51%chance

16291

OptionVotes

YES

1051

969

Will Siri have built-in AI, stock, before Android Assistant?

Jun 28, 11:26 AMApr 2, 4:59 AM

29%chance

13423

OptionVotes

YES

1103

930

Will a non specialized AI assistant master French grammar rule of "L'accord du participe passé" at the end of 2025 ?

Dec 10, 9:33 AMDec 31, 10:00 PM

55.34%chance

271261

OptionVotes

YES

1053

867

By the end of 2025, will any AI beat Pokemon Emerald Version without human assistance?

Jan 15, 9:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.78%chance

421721

OptionVotes

YES

1021

953

Will an AI be able to convert recent mathematical results into a fully formal proofs that can be verified by a mainstream proof assistant by 2025?

Nov 27, 5:51 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

23%chance

342918

OptionVotes

YES

1459

772

By 2028 end, will there be AI-assisted therapy, where therapists visually explore a patient's thoughts/memories?

Jul 5, 4:15 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

17.51%chance

391754

OptionVotes

YES

1005

995

Will an AI system beat human performance in Trackmania Tool-Assisted Speedrunning by the end of 2025?

Dec 3, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.04%chance

101751

OptionVotes

YES

1312

872

Will Android have a native AI assistant that can take actions on arbitrary apps by EOY 2024?

Jan 10, 4:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.45%chance

13219

OptionVotes

YES

1097

961

Will Microsoft officially bring back Clippy as a GPT powered AI assistant? (Resolves end of 2024)

Nov 19, 6:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.26%chance

201143

OptionVotes

YES

1318

907

Will Google Assistant or Siri be powered by an AI solution similar to ChatGPT by the end of 2024?

Aug 5, 10:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

89.57%chance

441822

OptionVotes

YES

1391

918

Will there be a Big Tech AI assistant consumer product using a LLM by the end of 2024?

Jan 15, 8:18 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

95.06%chance

191137

OptionVotes

YES

1730

908

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AI Assistant News

Prediction markets for AI Assistant

Prediction markets for AI Assistant

Prediction markets for AI Assistant

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does?

Will Siri have built-in AI, stock, before Android Assistant?

Will a non specialized AI assistant master French grammar rule of "L'accord du participe passé" at the end of 2025 ?

By the end of 2025, will any AI beat Pokemon Emerald Version without human assistance?

Will an AI be able to convert recent mathematical results into a fully formal proofs that can be verified by a mainstream proof assistant by 2025?

By 2028 end, will there be AI-assisted therapy, where therapists visually explore a patient's thoughts/memories?

Will an AI system beat human performance in Trackmania Tool-Assisted Speedrunning by the end of 2025?

Will Android have a native AI assistant that can take actions on arbitrary apps by EOY 2024?

Will Microsoft officially bring back Clippy as a GPT powered AI assistant? (Resolves end of 2024)

Will Google Assistant or Siri be powered by an AI solution similar to ChatGPT by the end of 2024?

Will there be a Big Tech AI assistant consumer product using a LLM by the end of 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for AI Assistant

Prediction markets for AI Assistant

Prediction markets for AI Assistant

Will over 50% of households in any developed country use an AI assistant for daily decision-making by the end of 2030?

Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does?

Will Siri have built-in AI, stock, before Android Assistant?

Will a non specialized AI assistant master French grammar rule of "L'accord du participe passé" at the end of 2025 ?

By the end of 2025, will any AI beat Pokemon Emerald Version without human assistance?

Will an AI be able to convert recent mathematical results into a fully formal proofs that can be verified by a mainstream proof assistant by 2025?

By 2028 end, will there be AI-assisted therapy, where therapists visually explore a patient's thoughts/memories?