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Prediction markets for observatory
Prediction markets for observatory
Conditional on a second Wow! signal detection, what will be true?
Mar 3, 3:41 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
17
610
Will net migration be over 350,000 as reported for 2023?
Nov 20, 11:10 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
92.63%
chance
13
2169
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3073
611
Will humans receive a message from an extraterrestrial or inter-dimensional intelligence before the end of 2027?
Aug 27, 5:59 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
4.97%
chance
38
2403
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1824
906
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentrations reach 450 ppm (YES) or 400 ppm (NO) first?
Oct 8, 9:43 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
95.43%
chance
15
723
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1528
910
What will be the mean annual CO2 level in 2025?
Jul 30, 2:42 PM
Jun 30, 9:59 PM
46%
chance
2
44
Option
Votes
NO
YES
274
265
What will be the annual mean CO2 level in 2030?
Jul 30, 4:46 PM
Jun 30, 9:59 PM
35.38%
chance
2
40
Option
Votes
NO
YES
270
270
Where will the Einstein Telescope be built?
Apr 14, 12:39 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
4
207
What will be the mean annual CO2 level in 2024?
Jul 30, 2:38 PM
Jun 30, 9:59 PM
56.58%
chance
2
82
Option
Votes
NO
YES
349
235
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ISRO's Aditya-L1 Enters Halo Orbit After 926 Days; XPoSat Mission Success
Authors
15
6 months
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