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Prediction markets for National Assembly
Prediction markets for National Assembly
Will a coalition government be formed in South Africa following the 2024 general election?
Dec 1, 8:25 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
93.8%
chance
45
5965
Option
Votes
NO
YES
5111
419
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Jun 3, 9:34 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
35.39%
chance
14
835
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1351
740
🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱
Nov 1, 6:37 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
16.81%
chance
22
1659
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1390
877
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Mar 25, 11:43 AM
Dec 31, 12:00 PM
6.7%
chance
61
9007
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2481
731
Will António Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary?
Oct 31, 10:24 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
15.29%
chance
7
1203
Option
Votes
YES
NO
245
89
French 2024 parliamentary elections -- multi-question. Final round July 7th.
Jun 30, 5:27 PM
Jul 15, 3:59 AM
14
4959
Will Niger return to civilian rule by the end of 2024?
Sep 13, 6:48 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
19.44%
chance
8
308
Option
Votes
YES
NO
241
111
Will Kosovo become a United Nations member state by 2030?
Oct 8, 5:53 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
33.91%
chance
5
105
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
80
Paramount Global acquisition: WHO YA GOT?
Jun 15, 7:08 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
1
120
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?
Feb 14, 2:58 PM
Jun 30, 9:59 PM
53.98%
chance
6
108
Option
Votes
NO
YES
125
94
Articles
Latest stories
Pro-Palestinian Protests Erupt Across Europe Amid Gaza Conflict and Rafah Strike
Authors
13
1 month
Israel
World
Politics
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