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Fujian Coast Guard Conducts Regular Patrols Near Kinmen Since June
Authors
4
9 days
China
Crime
World
Prediction markets for Kinmen
Prediction markets for Kinmen
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40%
chance
19
1151
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1087
828
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
36.43%
chance
18
377
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1066
855
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 3:41 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
17.95%
chance
12
381
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1152
945
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Nov 17, 6:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
46.43%
chance
56
7887
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1044
926
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
Dec 10, 3:41 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
11.94%
chance
16
929
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1332
909
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2024?
Apr 7, 6:29 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
10.62%
chance
65
7809
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1226
932
Will a bridge between Xiamen (PRC) and Kinmen (ROC) have started construction by 2035?
Jul 4, 9:13 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
16.62%
chance
7
200
Option
Votes
YES
NO
180
55
Will there be a clash between Taiwanese and Chinese Coast Guard ships in the waters around Kinmen in 2024?
Mar 1, 4:15 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
31.57%
chance
6
68
Option
Votes
YES
NO
268
157
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2030
Feb 16, 1:23 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
2
255
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2035
Feb 16, 1:23 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
2
195
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2027
Feb 16, 1:10 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
16
1606
Will Xi Jinping be in Taiwan anytime through 2025?
Sep 25, 9:04 PM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
8%
chance
5
199
Option
Votes
YES
NO
274
92
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