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Top stories

Jamaal Bowman Defeated by George Latimer in Most Expensive House Primary
Authors
105
2 days
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U.S. and Israel Resolve Arms Supply Issues, Pause on 2000lbs Bombs Shipment
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Germany Introduces Citizenship Quiz, Requires Declaration of Israel’s Right to Exist
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Blinken: Egypt, UAE to Join Post-War Gaza Security Force
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Germany's Citizenship Reform Simplifies Naturalization Process, Requires Declaration of Israel's Right to Exist, Residency Requirement 5 Years, Dual Citizenship Restrictions Relaxed
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9
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Protesters in New York Demand Citigroup Cut Ties with Israel, Fossil Fuel, and Weapons Industries
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IDF Eliminates Senior Hamas Weapons Smuggler, Destroys Rocket Launch Sites in Gaza
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1 day
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1 day
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Claudia Sheinbaum Wins Mexico's Presidential Election with 59.76% of the Vote, Takes Office in October
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German Cabinet Tightens Deportation Rules for Foreigners Glorifying Terrorism on June 26
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Prediction markets for Israel

[ACX 2024] Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

Jan 1, 1:31 PMJan 2, 2:00 PM

69.57%chance

35470620

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3247

1408

Will Hezbollah directly engage in combat operations against Israel?

Oct 7, 8:18 PMNov 28, 4:59 AM

71.4%chance

534192742

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4452

3542

🛑⚔️ Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?

Dec 28, 11:58 PMDec 31, 5:00 PM

38.75%chance

363247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3305

2715

[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Oct 11, 5:55 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

410166084

Will Saudi Arabia and Israel establish diplomatic relations before 2025?

Aug 9, 1:33 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

17.82%chance

32044453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5203

1566

Will Benjamin Netanyahu (Bibi) be the prime minister of Israel at the end of 2024

Oct 15, 4:02 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

71.78%chance

47471935

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4522

995

Will Netanyahu remain Israel's PM until the end of 2024?

Jul 25, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.12%chance

27662364

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3205

912

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.54%chance

10311535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4069

813

Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side

Oct 8, 6:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30267781

[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Oct 7, 11:35 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

12972052

Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of July?

May 30, 9:58 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

18.09%chance

618954

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2128

470

Will Israel hit Iran's nuclear sites in 2024?

Apr 9, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.94%chance

12612258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2598

820

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