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Prediction markets for Eastern Pacific
Prediction markets for Eastern Pacific
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.38%
chance
21
3391
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3809
3207
GOES 19 becomes Operational East before first 2024 US ATL/GulfCoast landfalling Hurricane?
Jun 10, 2:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
59.1%
chance
1
1569
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1202
832
West coast best coast (in math olympiads)?
Nov 21, 8:22 PM
Aug 1, 6:59 AM
37.08%
chance
23
1657
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1078
924
Who will be the top all-time trader on the Manifold leaderboard at end of November 2024?
Jul 31, 8:02 PM
Dec 2, 7:59 AM
10
1760
Will the Northern Elephant Seal (Mirounga angustirostris) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 29, 5:10 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
39.92%
chance
4
332
Option
Votes
YES
NO
204
160
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10
4 months
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4
7 months
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9
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Climate
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Hurricane Otis Hits Acapulco, Mexico, with Over 200 mph Wind Gusts
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8
8 months
Climate
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Category 5 Hurricane Otis Hits Mexico with 205 mph Wind Gust, Causes Devastation in Acapulco
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5
8 months
Climate
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7
8 months
Climate
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7
8 months
Climate
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13
9 months
Climate
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No Tropical Systems in Atlantic Ocean for Over 2 Months as Low Pressure System Threatens Antilles
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14
9 months
Climate
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Tropical Depression Sean Expected to Weaken, New Tropical System Forms in East Pacific
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6
9 months
Climate
Science
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