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East Africa News
Prediction markets for East Africa
Prediction markets for East Africa
Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2024?
Feb 15, 6:49 PM
Mar 1, 7:59 AM
3
62
Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?
Jul 1, 4:37 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
15.08%
chance
13
316
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1164
936
Will East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) be in operation until December 31st 2025?
Oct 11, 11:41 AM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
28.09%
chance
1
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
31
When will the East African Community have a single currency?
Dec 3, 4:49 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
8
1098
Will the East African Federation be a member of the UN before 2030?
Oct 20, 1:20 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
5.87%
chance
4
1179
Option
Votes
YES
NO
368
30
After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?
Nov 2, 6:19 PM
Nov 9, 11:59 PM
200
12629
Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:16 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
19.92%
chance
9
2626
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4193
4124
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more nation states in the middle east before 2025? [Note nation states]
Nov 4, 10:57 AM
Nov 9, 11:59 PM
20.44%
chance
96
6632
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1908
495
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
Jul 26, 1:31 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
36.06%
chance
18
1026
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1021
939
Does "Tong Tong, South Sudan" actually exist?
Jun 4, 11:24 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
57.25%
chance
16
355
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1053
914
Will the Caracal (Caracal caracal) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 30, 6:17 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
18.02%
chance
5
247
Option
Votes
YES
NO
382
125
In the event of a third world war*, which (if any) sub-Saharan African countries will likely get involved in it?
Nov 3, 10:12 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
0
0
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