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Prediction markets for Central Market

Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?

Mar 31, 6:42 PMJul 6, 6:59 PM

332289820

Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?

Aug 17, 3:52 AMJan 1, 3:49 AM

20.36%chance

23336964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3039

1244

Infinite Chaos Market

Dec 17, 3:12 PMDec 1, 5:59 AM

53926

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

69.6%chance

755140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2075

1529

Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of South Sudan?

Dec 1, 9:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.14%chance

342184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1921

1275

In 2024, will the Bank of Japan announce the public rollout of its Central Bank Digital Currency?

Dec 2, 12:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.82%chance

383420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2855

1029

Will Lorxus, the author of this market, be a winner of Tontine?

Mar 25, 4:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.02%chance

22989

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

829

Will Tontine ever pay out?

Mar 25, 6:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

87.36%chance

221525

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1207

941

Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of the Central African Republic?

Dec 1, 9:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.87%chance

363580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2112

896

6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption.

Dec 25, 1:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.96%chance

533275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

852

Will >100,000 people regularly use visual AR during everyday life by 2030

Dec 22, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.42%chance

26640

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

968

🇺🇸 If Trump wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?

Mar 11, 3:59 PMNov 2, 4:59 AM

72.67%chance

14527

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

943

Articles

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H-E-B Expands in Texas: New Stores, 2026 Tarrant County Site, Distribution Campus
Authors
6
2 months
Texas
Politics

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