Donald Trump's policy proposals, including new tariffs, deporting immigrants, and fresh tax cuts, could push inflation higher, according to economists. His tendency to embrace fiscal deficits may exacerbate inflation, potentially leading him to pressure the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, further increasing inflation. Despite this, many voters believe Trump would handle the economy better than Joe Biden, who currently leads Trump by just 12 points in California, 52%-40%, according to an Emerson poll. Nationally, Trump and Biden are neck and neck, with Biden gaining 8 points against Trump in recent weeks, resulting in a 17-point swing. Betting markets, including a $155m pot on Polymarket, show growing confidence in Trump's election victory, with Trump ahead in key battleground states like Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina. This comes after Trump's 34 convictions in his hush-money trial.
First poll after Trump’s hush money conviction shows he leads Biden in Nevada https://t.co/2g9BxB2Qzo
Trump Conviction Means Little, According to Polls https://t.co/dCEbRZMjj1
in the last 30 days on @polymarket, trump to win has increased from 45% to 56% (+11%), while biden to win has fallen from 45% to 34% (-11%), resulting in the largest spread seen yet in this election cycle
Prediction Market #Polymarket Shows Increasing Gap Between #Trump and #Biden https://t.co/ClNiGHkj7c
.@Polymarket - NV, GA, AZ & NC odds NEVADA 🟥 Trump: 64% (new high) 🟦 Biden: 36% GEORGIA 🟥 Trump: 65% 🟦 Biden: 35% . ARIZONA 🟥 Trump: 61% 🟦 Biden: 39% NORTH CAROLINA 🟥 Trump: 78% (new high) 🟦 Biden: 22% https://t.co/BBwAM9ruC4 https://t.co/Izt4vZuGal https://t.co/nWUfGdueYO
On the election @NateSilver538 “Well past the point it’s a toss-up. If you have a free bet, bet on Trump. Though it’s close…” “If we didn’t have polling, you’d say economy is ok depending how you look at it, incumbents tend to get re-elected. You’d think Biden 70%+” https://t.co/cAz483VQaS
America’s economy has changed since 2016. If the country enjoyed strong GDP and jobs growth during Donald Trump’s presidency, his economic populism today could cause an inflationary surge https://t.co/rv5A8gUptR 👇
Trump is ahead of Biden by 1.1% as of today according to https://t.co/Tu8VPV8UpZ. https://t.co/QvJzx6LXWt
Biden leads Trump for the first time in months (46-44%) in a head-to-head contest, although Trump takes the lead (43-42%) when 3rd-parties are considered according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll https://t.co/h7ttAdC9NE
🚨🇺🇸NATIONAL POLL: TRUMP LEADS BIDEN ON LEADERSHIP TRAITS, BIDEN ON PERSONAL QUALITIES Trump leads on being seen as tough (66%-28%), energetic (61%-26%), effective (52%-38%), and competent (49%-40%). He also narrowly leads on having a vision for the country. Biden's main… https://t.co/VurEn8Tmq3 https://t.co/afqUmlDZ9X
Per CBS poll, Biden has gained 8 points against Trump and Trump has lost 9 points to Biden in recent weeks. This gives Biden a 17 point swing if elections were held today. My prediction made one year ago was that Biden will win 2024. Imagine that…
Per CBS poll, Biden has gained 8 points against Trump and Trump has lost 9 points to Biden in recent weeks. This gives Biden. 17 point swing if elections were held today. My prediction made one year ago was that Biden will win 2024. Imagine that 💩
🚨🇺🇸NATIONAL POLL: BIDEN VOTERS DRIVEN BY TRUMP HATRED, NOT ACTUALLY LIKING JOE The latest CBS/YouGov poll reveals a brutal truth for Biden: 54% of his likely voters back him mainly to oppose Trump, up from 47% in March. Only 27% say they actually like Biden, down from 31%.… https://t.co/KVXMN9K0RH https://t.co/lynEHCQkYx
🚨🇺🇸NATIONAL POLL: ECONOMIC PAIN FROM HIGH PRICES FUELING MASSIVE TRUMP LEAD OVER BIDEN A new poll reveals economic hardship from higher prices is severely damaging Biden while boosting Trump's comeback prospects. Among voters saying higher prices have been "a hardship":… https://t.co/XTEAZUg3ik https://t.co/9AMobRAipH
🇺🇸NATIONAL POLL: TRUMP 50% vs BIDEN 49% Reminder - this poll was conducted AFTER Trump was convicted of 34 felonies in NYC. Source: CBS https://t.co/CesdCUPZmN https://t.co/Nm9U6F0x1e
The stakes, not the odds. We need more of this kind of reporting: Trump Vows to Lower Prices. Some of His Policies May Raise Them. Trump has not released a detailed economic plan. But three of his key proposals would push prices up, economists say. https://t.co/IA62FArxsH
“There's early evidence the race tightened after Trump's 34 convictions in his hush-money trial.” https://t.co/z4sXlGDSkK
After months of brutal polls, President Biden has some cause for optimism. Multiple polls in swing states had shown Trump heading for a clean sweep. But there's early evidence the race tightened after Trump's 34 convictions in his hush-money trial. https://t.co/hP0pDtZH50
.@Polymarket Bets Show Growing Confidence in #Trump's Election Victory Over #Biden https://t.co/ClNiGHkj7c
Trump and Biden neck and neck nationally and in battlegrounds — @CBSNews poll https://t.co/FfgFpKKkQZ
🇺🇸 Donald Trump vows to lower prices. Some of his policies may raise them. https://t.co/Jn9zbEVHw9
Trump vows to lower prices. Some of his policies may raise them. https://t.co/TIkFEHKNBp
Biden Easily Won Virginia in 2020. Polls Now Show Him Tied With Trump. - Business Insider https://t.co/nVJt0oFERQ
Donald Trump has been convicted, but bettors on Polymarket have a conviction he'll stay out of prison and return to the White House. https://t.co/nDld67V09E
Many voters believe Trump would handle the economy better than Biden has. Economists warn otherwise, @RonBrownstein writes. https://t.co/LeKDUmmLVe https://t.co/RrTGrVt9q5
$155m pot betting on the 2024 US presedential election have Trump at 56%. https://t.co/Y2v036heEp @Polymarket https://t.co/O0JNMRy1DS
Donald Trump has not released a detailed economic plan. But three of his key proposals would push prices up, economists say. https://t.co/FlWEidcxUn
The US economy is, by most measures, Good. But most voters simply don’t believe it, and it’s driving Dems to despair. Inside the Biden team’s search for any way to close the confounding economic gap threatening the president’s reelection: https://t.co/t6CsJKdF4d
Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by just 12 points in California, 52%-40% - Emerson poll
Trump's tariffs would push up inflation a bit, and his tendency to embrace fiscal deficits would probably push it up even more. Then he'd be tempted to force the Fed to lower interest rates, which would result in even higher inflation. https://t.co/vgAr0fISWK
Trump’s policy proposals risk pushing inflation higher, including massive new tariffs, deporting immigrants, and fresh tax cuts https://t.co/XqT4edgFB2