Global fertility rates are experiencing dramatic declines, with significant implications for future population patterns. A GBD Capstone study suggests that these changes will transform global demographics by 2100. Preliminary data from 2022 and 2023 indicate that birth rates are falling faster than previously expected across Latin America, Asia, Africa, and Europe. In 2022, the UN projected the global fertility rate at 2.31, just above the replacement level. However, recent data show that two-thirds of the world's countries now have childbirth rates below this threshold. South Korea's fertility rate has fallen to the lowest in the world, while the birth rate in England and Wales has dropped to a record low. The United States also saw a decline in fertility rates last year. Notable declines were also observed in India, China, Nigeria, and Pakistan.
The global decline in birth rates: 1950 ๐จ๐ณ China: 41.0 ๐ฎ๐ณ India: 43.8 ๐ณ๐ฌ Nigeria: 45.6 ๐ต๐ฐ Pakistan: 43.7 ๐บ๐ธ USA: 22.8 2021 ๐จ๐ณ China: 7.6 ๐ฎ๐ณ India: 16.4 ๐ณ๐ฌ Nigeria: 37.1 ๐ต๐ฐ Pakistan: 27.5 ๐บ๐ธ USA: 11.1 Note: The number of live births occurring during the year, per 1,000 people.โฆ
The global decline in fertility rates: 1950 ๐จ๐ณ China: 41.0 ๐ฎ๐ณ India: 43.8 ๐ณ๐ฌ Nigeria: 45.6 ๐ต๐ฐ Pakistan: 43.7 ๐บ๐ธ USA: 22.8 2021 ๐จ๐ณ China: 7.6 ๐ฎ๐ณ India: 16.4 ๐ณ๐ฌ Nigeria: 37.1 ๐ต๐ฐ Pakistan: 27.5 ๐บ๐ธ USA: 11.1 According to data from the UN World Population Prospects (2022)
๐จ GLOBAL ALERT: BIRTH RATES PLUMMETING FASTER THAN EXPECTED Global fertility rates are collapsing faster than many experts predicted. Preliminary 2022 and 2023 data show births falling more rapidly in Latin America, Asia, Africa, and Europe than prior estimates. UNโฆ https://t.co/3wcyQzE328
๐จ GLOBAL ALERT: BIRTH RATES PLUMMETING FASTER THAN EXPECTED Global fertility rates are collapsing faster than many experts predicted. UN projections from 2022 estimated the global fertility rate at 2.31, just above the replacement level. Preliminary 2022 and 2023 data showโฆ https://t.co/ozRfhSyVx0
Two thirds of the worldโs countries now have childbirth rates below the replacement rate. โข South Korea's fertility rate falls to lowest in the world โข The birth rate in England and Wales dropped to the lowest on record. โข In the US the fertility rate fell last year toโฆ https://t.co/qdSG3GH7bO
See, also: Declining fertility in India and across much of Africa. https://t.co/tsJslUigYf
Dramatic declines in global fertility rates set to transform global population patterns by 2100, GBD Capstone study suggests. Explore the data โก๏ธ https://t.co/xiNPT7ulXt @IHME_UW Explore the full infographic โก๏ธ https://t.co/baJGkru2qf https://t.co/eUaMAkOSwn