The geopolitical divide between the US and its Western allies versus Russia and China has created opportunities for groups like Hamas and the Afghan Taliban. Despite initial nonrecognition efforts, countries such as China, India, and Russia are now normalizing relations with the Taliban, undermining US influence. The Taliban is engaging with regional neighbors, including India, while major powers like China are providing clout, leading the Taliban to resist Western demands on human rights and inclusiveness.
“The Taliban have less reason to submit to Western demands on human rights or inclusiveness in their government. Observing that they can gain clout with major powers like China, Taliban leaders have become impatient with conditional engagement.” https://t.co/EzappGEMUZ
The US will not be able to influence Taliban behavior whether it continues its current policy or fully normalizes with it. The US will continue to be irrelevant no matter what. China, Turkey, Iran, Qatar, Pakistan, Russia, Uzbekistan, Russia, Turkmenistan, Japan are relevant tho https://t.co/F7EyHVdOcz
"Nonrecognition is no longer a credible coercive tool, and if the United States seeks to influence Taliban behavior, it must find other ways to achieve its desired aims." @asfandyarmir and @and_huh_what via @ForeignAffairs https://t.co/shMEiR6xuZ
The #Taliban is indeed engaging with most of its regional neighbours, including #India. #Russia, despite its vocal apprehensions about the group, has pushed ahead with the #Moscow format and deals with them on a day-to-day basis, notes @KabirTaneja https://t.co/uiBQFjplD6
The #war between #Israel and #Hamas, attacks by the #Houthis, and general global instability has created a favourable conjuncture for #Russia, where the #RussiaUkraineWar lost attention at the global level, highlights Nataliya Butyrska https://t.co/qZy3rDgUW3
A growing number of governments, including China, Iran, and Russia, are normalizing relations with the Taliban—and undermining U.S. attempts to influence Taliban behavior by withholding diplomatic recognition, write @asfandyarmir and @and_huh_what. https://t.co/9zLjCURMbb
America Can’t Isolate the Taliban: Why Regional Powers Are Reopening Ties With Afghanistan (Asfandyar Mir & Andrew Watkins) https://t.co/vxwuVEiys8
This report explores the approaches taken so far by different countries to #Taliban-ruled #Afghanistan, specifically on the question of engaging with the Islamic Emirate, economic cooperation, and the incremental normalisation in ties: @Shivam05S https://t.co/x0N5m2yLGe
“Even if there was potential at an earlier stage for nonrecognition to compel the Taliban toward internationally acceptable norms, the de facto normalization that has taken place with China, India, Russia, and other powers has now made that impossible.” https://t.co/pMIh61zD0C
The #US and its Western allies on one side and #Russia and #China on the other may be a widening #geopolitical crevasse and, a point of worry for many. But for the likes of #Hamas and the #Afghan Taliban, it's an opportunity, highlights @KabirTaneja https://t.co/uiBQFjplD6