Recent polls in Canada show the Conservative Party with a significant lead over other parties, including in Ontario. The CPC has maintained a strong lead for months, with a notable increase in support among former Liberal and NDP voters. The Reform party has also seen a rise in polling numbers, posing a challenge to the Tories.
The Conservative range this month is 19%-27% A little noticed entirely unprecedented outcome in polling history (any governing party/either major party) would be to hit six months without a single 30% poll (Oct 14th-16th, More in Common) if Cons don't get a 30% poll next week https://t.co/WMJhq8Jn08
Tories Poll Just 4% Ahead of Reform https://t.co/AbfsbV9n0P https://t.co/Kea1Ky3mHV
NEW. Reform party average in the polls is up to 12.5% this week --incl. a new 15% high with Redfield & Wilton. Here's my exclusive on who's voting for them and why ... https://t.co/swshFXRZM2
A new poll shows Ford would still win a big majority if an election were held today but there would be a big shakeup on the opposition side of the legislature. But what did Bonnie Crombie say that will turn suburban voters off the Liberals? Read & RT https://t.co/tiLo2UwEfl
NEW UPDATE: The Conservatives have widened the gap to a record 20% over the Liberals. https://t.co/xJxPSbxhHh
From @brianlilley: Ford's PC's hold commanding lead, Liberals steal NDP support https://t.co/YwaLZwcPrG
Big takeaway from this, 21% of Liberal voters in 2021 are now backing Poilievre and the Conservatives. The poll didn't appear to ask, but the numbers would suggest many NDP voters are also turning blue. https://t.co/VlKN7uUBUC
Federal Vote Intention Among 18-29 Year Olds: CPC: 42% LPC: 23% NDP: 18% GPC: 9% PPC: 5% BQ: 2% Abacus Data / April 9, 2024 / n=329 / Online
Ontario Provincial Polling: PCPO: 40% (-1) OLP: 30% (+6) ONDP: 18% (-6) GPO: 5% (-1) Others: 6% Liaison Strategies / April 7, 2024 / n=1280 / MOE 2.7% / IVR (% Change with 2022 Election) Check out more ON details on @338Canada at: https://t.co/bQ5FUAq2IA https://t.co/KWwm3v03VT
Points in this Liaison poll of Ontario politics. 👉All of Crombie’s growth for OLP is coming at the expense of Stiles and the ONDP. 👉Half of Ontario residents say Axe the Tax, meaning the carbon tax. 👉More than half think affordability is more important than the environment https://t.co/m4RoazUf6T
A few thoughts on state of Canadian federal politics. First, the polls. The CPC has had a solid minimum 15pt lead since last summer. Any shifts are a product of the polls themselves (timing, methodology, sample noise) rather than real changes in public opinion. 1/n
Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives open up their largest lead yet. https://t.co/wUBuNqNPeg @DavidColetto #cdnpoli Find out more at https://t.co/xofn4ZIXij https://t.co/mcIg6SRab3
Do @pierrepoilievre and the Conservatives have the next election in the bag? If it were held tomorrow, most likely. It's a long way off though and things can change, like leaders. But Kinsella is wrong, Trudeau won't leave. Read & RT #cdnpoli https://t.co/xGlqPyaFx1