Recent polling data indicates a significant shift in the UK political landscape, with Reform UK gaining momentum and surpassing the Conservative Party in several polls. A constituency poll in Clacton shows Nigel Farage of Reform UK leading with 48%, a 27-point lead over his nearest competitor, Giles Watling of the Conservative Party, who stands at 21%. Other candidates in Clacton include Owusu-Nepaul of Labour with 18%, Bensilum of the Liberal Democrats and Osben of the Green Party, both at 6%. Nationally, Reform UK has also overtaken the Conservatives, with a Whitestone poll showing Labour at 39%, Reform UK at 20%, and the Conservatives at 19%. In Wales, Labour leads with 46%, followed by Reform UK at 17% and the Conservatives at 15%. Additionally, a poll in Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's Richmond and Northallerton constituency shows him leading with 39%, but his majority has significantly decreased from previous elections. A Savanta poll indicates Reform UK has reached its highest vote share at 16%.
UK (Richmond and Northallerton), Survation poll: Constituency poll Sunak (CON~ECR): 39% (-24) Wilson (LAB-S&D): 28% (+12) Taylor (REFORM~NI): 18% (new) Callaghan (LDEM-RE): 9% (-3) Foster (GPEW-G/EFA): 4% ... +/- vs. 2019 notional election result Fieldwork: 12-21 June 2024… https://t.co/wlzPf2eI7f
NEW Constituency Poll in Richmond and Northallerton for @38degrees CON 39% (-24) LAB 28% (+12) REF 18% (new) LD 9% (-3) GRE 4% (-) OTH 3% (-1) F/w 12th - 21st June. Changes vs. Notional 2019 result https://t.co/ZBDfU5ARwh
*Rishi Sunak constituency poll* PM set to hang on to Richmond seat despite majority crumbling https://t.co/yne8iPKaCl
*Rishi Sunak constituency poll* PM set to hang on despite majority crumbling https://t.co/DMIfT7ecdJ
First constituency poll of Sunak's constituency (I think at least one more is coming) This is pretty close to the numbers in the Survation and YouGov MRPs. https://t.co/iFYPnWLewF
New election poll: Reform UK has moved into second place with GB News viewers https://t.co/vET5qbSHBA
Rishi Sunak has spent multiple days campaigning in his own seat (majority: 27,210). That suggests he’s taking the possibility of losing it seriously. https://t.co/UUkUD5oqO5
JL Partners polling of GB News viewer voting intentions: 🔴Labour 38% (-8) 🟣Reform 25% (+7) 🔵Conservative 24% (-2) 🔶Lib Dems 8% (-2) 🟢Green 3% (+1) Fieldwork 17-20 June. Changes w/ 29-31 May.
JL Partners polling of GB News viewer voting intentions: 🔴Labour 38% (-8) 🟣Reform 25% (-7) 🔵Conservative 24% (-2) 🔶Lib Dems 8% (-2) 🟢Green 3% (+1) Fieldwork 17-20 June. Changes w/ 29-31 May.
Average for the parties this week Labour 41% Conservatives 19.5% Reform 17% Lib Dems 11% #bbclaurak #trevorpĥillips https://t.co/qPd1F5CLH9
Another poll places @reformparty_uk ahead of the Conservatives. https://t.co/t9oDSYlpTj
That trend again (from one of Reform's worst pollsters). Con ⬇️ Ref ⬆️ https://t.co/isX2BzgOOJ
The @reformparty_uk is going from strength to strength. Do they have time to catch Labour? https://t.co/qNcBWwS1Ex
🚨NEW Reform UK on it’s highest vote share in a Savanta poll, again 📉26 May – Con 27%, Reform UK 8% 📈21 June – Con 19%, Reform UK 16% https://t.co/6uQTJjXH8x
🔴 Tories fall to new low in latest poll as Reform closes gap to three points https://t.co/Rwo88Iqg4Z
Labour's support has slipped over the last two weeks, but there is no good news for the Conservatives in the @SkyNews poll tracker. Might they drop below 20% soon? Lab 40.7 (35-46) Con 20.2 (15-25) Reform 16.6 (9-24) Lib Dems 10.8 (8-14) Green 6.2 (5-9) SNP 2.7 (2-5) https://t.co/9kfgBgBdEv
Reform is now only 9 points behind Labour in the Red Wall https://t.co/SQugXU9FDv
Labour down 7 % Reform UK up 4 % The gap just 9% We don't need the BBC Join the Reform UK Revolt 💪🇬🇧 https://t.co/XujLgmP9mX
The momentum is with the @reformparty_uk. https://t.co/TqfBeT9DBz
🚨 NEW: The Tories are reportedly pouring extra resources into Rishi Sunak's Richmond and Northallerton seat amid fears his 27,000 majority is not safe after his D-Day gaffe [@thetimes]
Another record high for Reform. Lab 40%, Cons 20% (-3), Reform 16% (+2) https://t.co/qPd1F5CLH9
Unadjusted this is: Lab 42% Con 19% Reform 14% LD 11% Green 8% Similar to Savanta. https://t.co/UpVn8SepXB
🚨 New polling with @ObserverUK The Labour lead is now 20 points •Labour 40% (n/c) •Conservatives 20% (-3) •Reform 16% (+2) •Lib Dems 12% (n/c) •Greens 9% (+2) •SNP 3% (+1) Fieldwork: 19 - 21 June. Changes from 12 - 14 June. https://t.co/6WTd1WKPBR
New Savanta poll for the Sunday Telegraph 🔴Labour 42% (+2) 🔵Conservative 19% (-2) 🟣Reform UK 16% (+2) 🔶Liberal Democrat 9% (-2) 🟢Green 5% (+1) 🟡SNP 3% (=) Other 6% (+1) Change from 14-16 June. 2,013 UK adults, fieldwork 19-21 June 2024
🚨NEW Westminster Voting Intention for Sunday @Telegraph 📉Lowest ever Conservative vote share under Sunak, again 🌹Lab 42 (+2) 🌳Con 19 (-2) ➡️Reform 16 (+2) 🔶LD 9 (-2) 🌍Green 5 (+1) 🎗️SNP 3 (=) ⬜️Other 6 (+1) 2,103 UK adults 19-21 June (chg from 14-16 June) https://t.co/v9OCS2P80C
A superb campaign video from @Nigel_Farage who has a 14 point lead in Clacton. He says the establishment & Conservatives are terrified. "Labour are not scared yet, but by the time I have finished with them, they will be. He wants @reform to become the voice of oppostition. https://t.co/WdZtYdxtXS
UK (Wales), Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll: LAB-S&D: 46% (+1) REFORM~NI: 17% (-1) CON~ECR: 15% (-3) PC-G/EFA: 10% (-1) LDEM-RE: 7% (+2) GPEW-G/EFA: 4% +/- vs. 5-7 June 2024 Fieldwork: 19-20 June 2024 Sample size: 930 ➤ https://t.co/Oc1WEqPB9Y https://t.co/Gv0Dny5znA
LONDON — Reform UK tops Tories in Whitestone poll, at 20% vs. Conservatives' 19%, Labour leads with 39%.
Poll shows Nigel Farage leading nearest opponent by 27 points for Clacton’s parliament seat, with 48% of the vote. Follow: @AFpost https://t.co/pnqxHoe6e4
Labour leads Reform by 29% in Wales. New lowest Conservative %. Welsh Westminster Voting Intention (19-20 June): Labour 46% (+1) Reform 17% (-1) Conservative 15% (-3) Plaid Cymru 10% (-1) Lib Dem 7% (+2) Green 4% (–) Other 1% (+1) Changes +/- 5-7 June https://t.co/ysJwdj2kpY https://t.co/DVXVz8xz6Q
Young Britons lean heavily left, but 21% of them back Reform in poll below echoing others which show that young British right voters prefer Reform over Tory by 2 or 3 to 1 https://t.co/9aYxPzsgDb
Another pollster has @reformparty_uk ahead of @Conservatives https://t.co/4jEq9gR5GS
NEW POLL - WESTMINSTER LAB: 39% REFORM: 20% CON: 19% LIB: 12% GREEN: 6% SNP: 3% OTHER: 1% via @WStoneInsight, 19-20 Jun https://t.co/vRDF088iai https://t.co/b9Tg4q46IR
NEW. Nigel Farage & Reform hit ANOTHER new record high of 20% and above Tories Labour 39% Reform 20% Conservatives 19% Lib Dems 12% Whitestone June 19-20 Something's happening out there ... https://t.co/qPd1F5CLH9
Breaking: Here is the latest polling for the upcoming UK general election in Clacton on Sea, Essex. @Nigel_Farage becoming an MP would be a real reason to celebrate for those who believe in British National Sovereignty. Millions of Brits will fight with Nigel in delivering the… https://t.co/5Lnk31XEfw
This is incredible. Nigel Farage is leading the polls with a whopping 48% in his seat of Clacton. He will CANCEL Britain's membership of the WHO.
UK (Clacton), JL Partners poll: Constituency poll Farage (REFORM~NI): 48% (new) Watling (CON~ECR): 21% (-51) Owusu-Nepaul (LAB-S&D): 18% (+2) Bensilum (LDEM-RE): 6% Osben (GPEW-G/EFA): 6% (+3) +/- vs. 2019 election Fieldwork: 10-19 June 2024 Sample size: 502 ➤… https://t.co/p4395iBtIe
🚨 NEW: Farage leads in Clacton by **27pts** 🟣 REF 48% (+48) 🔵 CON 21% (-51) 🔴 LAB 18% (+2) 🟠 LD 6% (-) 🟢 GRN 6% (+3) Via @JLPartnersPolls, 10-19 June (+/- vs 2019) https://t.co/AEav06ACDC
#BREAKING: #Reform now in second place nationally in new poll. The Sunak/Cameron so-called #Conservatives trailing third. #ReformParty #ReformUK @reformparty_uk https://t.co/kbq8Pf20no
NEW: @Nigel_Farage not just gonna walk it in Clacton - but win bigly 📉 27 point lead against @GilesWatling 📺 Here @jamesjohnson252 from @JLPartnersPolls joins me to crunch the numbers… https://t.co/O3qAemMfOO
Yet another pollster showing Reform nudging ahead of the Tories. Overall I think the best guess is now that both parties are approximately level. But only one has momentum. https://t.co/jyFWq4UWvs
Blimey, a poll by JL Partners has given Nigel Farage a 27 point lead in Clacton! If the Labour candidate in Clacton, Jovan, is still looking for “white man tears” to drink he may be going thirsty.
Blimey, a poll by JL Partners has given Nigel Farage. 27 point lead in Clacton! If the Labour candidate in Clacton, Jovan, is still looking for “white man tears” to drink he may be going thirsty.
Good numbers for Farage in Clacton. 🤞🏼 https://t.co/fM4rgtBQeo
🚨 NEW: A constituency poll in Clacton has Nigel Farage winning there by 27 points Farage (REF): 48% Watling (CON): 21% Owusu-Nepaul (LAB): 18% Bensilum (LDEM): 6% Osben (GRN): 6% [@JLPartnersPolls]