Recent electoral results in Tees Valley have shown a significant swing from the Conservatives to Labour, with a 16.7% shift in voter preference. If replicated in a general election, this swing would result in Labour winning every seat in the Tees Valley and potentially all Conservative seats across the North East of England, including key areas like Redcar, Hartlepool, and Stockton West. Ben Houchen's vote share is down 19% compared to 2021. The swing is seen as a major indicator ahead of the next general election, putting pressure on Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who despite the results, described the outcome as a 'huge victory'. The swing needed for a Labour majority at the national level is 12.7%.
The positive for the Conservatives is for holding Tees Valley by a decent margin, though on a 16% swing against (albeit after an outsize landslide in 2021) https://t.co/YnxWXgZNsA
🚨 NEW: If the Tees Valley Tory to Labour swing (+16.7%) was repeated across the North East of England at a general election, the Tories would lose all their seats Houchen's vote share is down 19% compared to 2021 Rishi Sunak has claimed it is a "huge victory" https://t.co/PxoQiDNZd1
There was a 17% swing from the Conservatives to Labour in the Tees Valley, if this was repeated at the General Election, the Conservatives would lose all of their seats in the region.
That's a 16.7 pc swing to Labour. Need a 12.7 pc swing at GE for majority. Lab: "Swing puts Labour on track to win every single seat in the area in a GE... If Sunak doesn’t take this result as a major wake up call he is in denial" Seats like Redcar, Hartlepool, Stockton West https://t.co/IcGLIAL0f9
Labour point out that if the 16.7% swing against Ben Houchen was repeated at a general election, they would win every single seat in the Tees Valley.
16% swing against Houchen. All the Tory Westminster seats in the area would be lost on that swing. https://t.co/94oTPH6j5m