Liberals Lead by 2 Points in Latest Abacus Poll, 8 Points Ahead in Nanos Ahead of Debates

Recent polling data indicates a narrowing gap between the Liberal Party and the Conservative Party in Canada, with the latest Abacus Data poll showing the Liberals leading by only 2 points. This follows a trend observed in multiple national polls released over the past week, which consistently show the Liberals maintaining a lead in Ontario that exceeds their margin of victory in the 2021 elections. Specifically, the smallest lead reported is 6 points, compared to a 4.4% victory margin in 2021. As the party leaders prepare for the upcoming debates, the Nanos poll indicates the Liberals ahead by 8 points. Meanwhile, Mainstreet polling suggests that the Liberals have garnered over 50% support in Quebec, raising questions about the impact of recent media appearances, including the show 'Tout Le Monde En Parle.' Despite these findings, some analysts note that recent polls from Ipsos and Leger had suggested a closing gap, with Abacus indicating a slight edge for Conservatives among committed voters.