New Jersey June 10 Democratic Primary Intensifies with Sherrill Leading Polls, Fulop and Baraka in Race, Ciattarelli Backs Trump
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As New Jersey approaches its June 10, 2025, Democratic primary, the gubernatorial race has intensified with multiple candidates and increased negative campaigning. The primary features a crowded field including two U.S. representatives, a South Jersey political machine leader, an education union leader, and several big-city mayors. Key Democratic contenders include Mikie Sherrill, Steve Fulop, and Ras Baraka.
Recent internal polling conducted May 10-13 shows Sherrill leading with 33%, followed by Fulop at 16% and Baraka at 15%. A polling average combining five internal and three independent polls places Sherrill at 24%, Fulop at 14%, Baraka at 13%, with other candidates like Josh Gottheimer, Sean Spiller, and Steve Sweeney trailing. Negative advertising has escalated, with the Baraka campaign running ads against Sherrill since May 19, and the Coalition For Progress PAC, supporting Fulop, launching anti-Sherrill ads shortly after. Sherrill’s campaign has also released new ads resembling general election messaging targeting former President Donald Trump and Republican candidate Jack Ciattarelli, who has recently aired a TV ad highlighting Trump’s endorsement and addressing issues such as immigration and policing. The Democratic primary vote distribution is roughly 45% from northern New Jersey, 20% central, 10% shore, and 25% southern regions. Voters have until May 20 to register for the primary. Meanwhile, in New York City, attention is turning to the upcoming mayoral race as current Mayor Eric Adams is expected to leave office later this year, though the leading candidates to succeed him have yet to be clearly identified.
I've seen chatter on CT about Mayor Adams' Crypto Summit. BUT, Adams is poised to leave office later this year, polls show.
So, who will replace him?
It's not yet clear, but @tomao_pete's Substack has the tl;dr on the 2025 @nydems mayoral candidates.
Sherrill campaign has released an internal poll fielded May 10-13 with her at 33%, Fulop 16%, and Baraka at 15%
Sherrill ads have dominated the airwaves in the last two weeks given decision to wait closer (there's a $8.7 million spend limit)
